巴菲特致股东的信.docx
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巴菲特致股东的信
巴菲特致股东的信
BERKSHIREHATHAWAYINC.
TotheShareholdersofBerkshireHathawayInc.:
Ourgaininnetworthduring2009was$21.8billion,whichincreasedtheper-sharebookvalueofboth
ourClassAandClassBstockby19.8%.Overthelast45years(thatis,sincepresentmanagementtookover)
bookvaluehasgrownfrom$19to$84,487,arateof20.3%compoundedannually.*
Berkshire’srecentacquisitionofBurlingtonNorthernSantaFe(BNSF)hasaddedatleast65,000
shareholderstothe500,000orsoalreadyonourbooks.It’simportanttoCharlieMunger,
mylong-timepartner,
andmethatallofourownersunderstandBerkshire’soperations,goals,limitationsandculture.Ineachannual
report,consequently,werestatetheeconomicprinciplesthatguideus.Thisyeartheseprinciplesappearonpages
89-94andIurgeallofyou–butparticularlyournewshareholders–toreadthem.
Berkshirehasadheredtothese
principlesfordecadesandwillcontinuetodosolongafterI’mgone.
Inthisletterwewillalsoreviewsomeofthebasicsofourbusiness,hopingtoprovidebothafreshman
orientationsessionforourBNSFnewcomersandarefreshercourseforBerkshireveterans.
HowWeMeasureOurselves
Ourmetricsforevaluatingourmanagerialperformancearedisplayedonthefacingpage.Fromthestart,
CharlieandIhavebelievedinhavingarationalandunbendingstandardformeasuringwhatwehave–orhave
not–accomplished.Thatkeepsusfromthetemptationofseeingwherethearrowof
performancelandsandthen
paintingthebull’seyearoundit.
SelectingtheS&P500asourbogeywasaneasychoicebecauseourshareholders,atvirtuallynocost,can
matchitsperformancebyholdinganindexfund.Whyshouldtheypayusformerelyduplicatingthatresult?
AmoredifficultdecisionforuswashowtomeasuretheprogressofBerkshireversustheS&P.Thereare
goodargumentsforsimplyusingthechangeinourstockprice.Overanextendedperiodoftime,infact,thatis
thebesttest.Butyear-to-yearmarketpricescanbeextraordinarilyerratic.Evenevaluationscoveringaslongasa
decadecanbegreatlydistortedbyfoolishlyhighorlowpricesatthebeginningorendofthemeasurement
period.SteveBallmer,ofMicrosoft,andJeffImmelt,ofGE,cantellyouaboutthat
problem,sufferingastheydo
fromthenosebleedpricesatwhichtheirstockstradedwhentheywerehandedthemanagerialbaton.
TheidealstandardformeasuringouryearlyprogresswouldbethechangeinBerkshire’sper-shareintrinsic
value.Alas,thatvaluecannotbecalculatedwithanythingclosetoprecision,soweinsteaduseacrudeproxyfor
it:
per-sharebookvalue.Relyingonthisyardstickhasitsshortcomings,whichwediscussonpages92and93.
Additionally,bookvalueatmostcompaniesunderstatesintrinsicvalue,andthatiscertainlythecaseat
Berkshire.Inaggregate,ourbusinessesareworthconsiderablymorethanthevaluesatwhichtheyarecarriedon
ourbooks.Inourall-importantinsurancebusiness,moreover,thedifferenceishuge.Evenso,CharlieandI
believethatourbookvalue–understatedthoughitis–suppliesthemostuseful
trackingdeviceforchangesin
intrinsicvalue.Bythismeasurement,astheopeningparagraphofthisletterstates,ourbookvaluesincethestart
offiscal1965hasgrownatarateof20.3%compoundedannually.
*Allper-sharefiguresusedinthisreportapplytoBerkshire’sAshares.Figuresfor
theBsharesare
1/1500thofthoseshownforA.
Weshouldnotethathadweinsteadchosenmarketpricesasouryardstick,Berkshire’s
resultswould
lookbetter,showingagainsincethestartoffiscal1965of22%compoundedannually.Surprisingly,thismodest
differenceinannualcompoundingrateleadstoan801,516%market-valuegainfortheentire45-yearperiod
comparedtothebook-valuegainof434,057%(shownonpage2).Ourmarketgainisbetterbecausein1965
Berkshiresharessoldatanappropriatediscounttothebookvalueofitsunderearningtextileassets,whereas
todayBerkshiresharesregularlysellatapremiumtotheaccountingvaluesofitsfirst-classbusinesses.
Summedup,thetableonpage2conveysthreemessages,twopositiveandonehugelynegative.First,
wehaveneverhadanyfive-yearperiodbeginningwith1965-69andendingwith2005-09–andtherehavebeen
41ofthese–duringwhichourgaininbookvaluedidnotexceedtheS&P’sgain.Second,
thoughwehavelagged
theS&Pinsomeyearsthatwerepositiveforthemarket,wehaveconsistentlydonebetterthantheS&Pinthe
elevenyearsduringwhichitdeliverednegativeresults.Inotherwords,ourdefensehas
beenbetterthanour
offense,andthat’slikelytocontinue.
Thebigminusisthatourperformanceadvantagehasshrunkdramaticallyasoursizehasgrown,an
unpleasanttrendthatiscertaintocontinue.Tobesure,Berkshirehasmanyoutstandingbusinessesandacadreof
trulygreatmanagers,operatingwithinanunusualcorporateculturethatletsthemmaximizetheirtalents.Charlie
andIbelievethesefactorswillcontinuetoproducebetter-than-averageresultsovertime.Buthugesumsforge
theirownanchorandourfutureadvantage,ifany,willbeasmallfractionofourhistoricaledge.
WhatWeDon’tDo
Longago,Charlielaidouthisstrongestambition:
“AllIwanttoknowiswhereI’mgoingtodie,soI’ll
nevergothere.”ThatbitofwisdomwasinspiredbyJacobi,thegreatPrussianmathematician,whocounseled
“Invert,alwaysinvert”asanaidtosolvingdifficultproblems.(Icanreportaswellthatthisinversionapproach
worksonalessloftylevel:
Singacountrysonginreverse,andyouwillquicklyrecoveryourcar,houseand
wife.)
HereareafewexamplesofhowweapplyCharlie’sthinkingatBerkshire:
•CharlieandIavoidbusinesseswhosefutureswecan’tevaluate,nomatterhowexciting
their
productsmaybe.Inthepast,itrequirednobrillianceforpeopletoforeseethefabulousgrowth
thatawaitedsuchindustriesasautos(in1910),aircraft(in1930)andtelevisionsets(in1950).But
thefuturethenalsoincludedcompetitivedynamicsthatwoulddecimatealmostallofthe
companiesenteringthoseindustries.Eventhesurvivorstendedtocomeawaybleeding.
JustbecauseCharlieandIcanclearlyseedramaticgrowthaheadforanindustrydoesnotmean
wecanjudgewhatitsprofitmarginsandreturnsoncapitalwillbeasahostofcompetitorsbattle
forsupremacy.AtBerkshirewewillstickwithbusinesseswhoseprofitpicturefordecadesto
comeseemsreasonablypredictable.Eventhen,wewillmakeplentyofmistakes.
•Wewillneverbecomedependentonthekindnessofstrangers.Too-big-to-failisnot
afallback
positionatBerkshire.Instead,wewillalwaysarrangeouraffairssothatanyrequirementsforcash
wemayconceivablyhavewillbedwarfedbyourownliquidity.Moreover,thatliquiditywillbe
constantlyrefreshedbyagusherofearningsfromourmanyanddiversebusinesses.
WhenthefinancialsystemwentintocardiacarrestinSeptember2008,Berkshirewasasupplier
ofliquidityandcapitaltothesystem,notasupplicant.Attheverypeakofthecrisis,wepoured
$15.5billionintoabusinessworldthatcouldotherwiselookonlytothefederalgovernmentfor
help.Ofthat,$9billionwenttobolstercapitalatthreehighly-regardedandpreviously-secure
Americanbusinessesthatneeded–withoutdelay–ourtangiblevoteofconfidence.The
remaining
$6.5billionsatisfiedourcommitmenttohelpfundthepurchaseofWrigley,adealthatwas
completedwithoutpausewhile,elsewhere,panicreigned.
Wepayasteeppricetomaintainourpremierfinancialstrength.The$20billion-plusofcashequivalent
assetsthatwecustomarilyholdisearningapittanceatpresent.Butwesleepwell.
•Wetendtoletourmanysubsidiariesoperateontheirown,withoutoursupervisingand
monitoringthemtoanydegree.Thatmeanswearesometimeslateinspottingmanagement
problemsandthatbothoperatingandcapitaldecisionsareoccasionallymadewithwhichCharlie
andIwouldhavedisagreedhadwebeenconsulted.Mostofourmanagers,however,usethe
independencewegrantthemmagnificently,rewardingourconfidencebymaintaininganowneroriented
attitudethatisinvaluableandtooseldomfoundinhugeorganizations.Wewouldrather
sufferthevisiblecostsofafewbaddecisionsthanincurthemanyinvisiblecoststhatcomefrom
decisionsmadetooslowly–ornotatall–becauseofastiflingbureaucracy.
WithouracquisitionofBNSF,wenowhaveabout257,000employeesandliterallyhundredsof
differentoperatingunits.Wehopetohavemanymoreofeach.ButwewillneverallowBerkshire
tobecomesomemonoliththatisoverrunwithcommittees,budgetpresentationsandmultiple
layersofmanagement.Instead,weplantooperateasacollectionofseparately-managedmediumsized
andlargebusinesses,mostofwhosedecision-makingoccursattheoperatinglevel.Charlie
andIwilllimitourselvestoallocatingcapital,controllingenterpriserisk,choosingmanagersand
settingtheircompensation.
•WemakenoattempttowooWallStreet.Investorswhobuyandsellbaseduponmediaor
analyst
commentaryarenotforus.InsteadwewantpartnerswhojoinusatBerkshirebecausetheywish
tomakealong-terminvestmentinabusinesstheythemselvesunderstandandbecauseit’s
onethat
followspolicieswithwhichtheyconcur.IfCharlieandIweretogointoasmallventurewitha
fewpartners,wewouldseekindividualsinsyncwithus,knowingthatcommongoalsandashared
destinymakeforahappybusiness“marriage”betweenownersandmanagers.Scalin