Inflationand Extensive Way of Economic Growth.docx
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InflationandExtensiveWayofEconomicGrowth
InflationandExtensiveWayofEconomicGrowth
AbstractThispaperpresentstheprocessthatExtensiveExpandedReproductionofSociety(anothermethodofexpress,extensivewayofeconomicgrowth)makesInflationwithinput-outputtable.MoreoverIcalculatethepositivecorrelationshipcoefficientsbetweenEERSandinflation.【Keywords】:
ExtensiveWayofEconomicGrowth;Inflation;ExtensiveExpandedReproductionofSociety;IntensiveExpandedReproductionofSociety
SectiononeTheprocessthatextensiveexpandedreproductionofsocietymakespricesrisePremises
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1.Thevaluelawisuniversalinthemarketeconomicsystem..
2.Economicdevelopmentisaunityofbothequilibriumanddisequilibrium.Anyeconomicsystemisinarelativelybalancesituationanditilltowardsnewbalancethroughmakinganexchangewithothersoradjustingitself,evenifitfardeviatesfrombalancebybeinglashed.Equilibriumisrelativeanddisequilibriumisabsolute.ⅠIntheclosedeconomicsystemSocialproductionistheunityofproduction,distribution,exchangeandconsumption.Intheprocessofproduction,thestaterevenuewhichiscreatedbyalldepartmentsofthenationaleconomywouldbeallottedtoresidentsandthegovernmentforitsexpensesthroughitsdistributiontimeandtimeagain,thatisFinalgoods.Inthisprocessalldepartmentintheeconomicsystemare iseachdepartmentconsumestheproductsofotherswhileitprovidesothersdepartmentswithitsproducts.LetussupposethatthereA,BandCthreedepartmentsinaeconomicsystemandeachdepartmentproduceA,BandC thattheyareatthesamestartingpoint:
theorganicstructureofcapitalisthesame,therateofsurplusvalueisthesame(100%).Theinterdependentrelationshipisshowinthefollowingtable(aconcisetableofinputandoutput):
Intheprocessofsimplereproductionofsociety,theeconomicsystemoughttoinabalancedstate.Ifitisnottemporarily,itwouldtendto,aslongasthesimplereproductionofsocietycontinues.Whenthebalancehasbeenformedcompleted,inthiseconomicsystem:
Therelationshipoftechnologyisstableandtheproductconsumptioncoefficientofeachdepartmentisunvaried.Therelationshipofeconomyisstable.Thesupplyanddemandaremaintainedinastateofbalanceforbothaggregatesocialproductsanditsinternalstructure.Inthiscase,thepricesofalltallywiththeirvaluescompletely.Therefore,withintheprocessofsimpleandsustainedreproductionofsociety,bothtechnologyandeconomyrelationshiparestable,meanwhilethepricesareunvariedandinflationwouldnottakeplace.Thesocietyhowever,alwaysmarchesforward,inthefieldofproductionthesocialproductionwouldnotstayatsimplereproductionstagebutdeveloponanexpandedscale.Intheunifiedprocessofproduction,distribution,exchangeandconsumption,theextensionoftheproductionscaleequalstotheincreaseofdemand,otherwisetheexpandedreproductionwouldnotcometrue.Thepurposeofproductionisthatthesocietyaggregatedemandforfinalgoodsincreaseandtobesatisfiedconstantlyinmeansandculture.Infactintheprocessofsocietydevelopment,thecategoriesandquantitiesofsubsistencemeansforpeoplearerestrictedbytheeconomicandculturaldevelopmentlevelundercertainhistoricalcondition.Itisalsorestrictedbythenationalcustomsandhabits.Alongwiththedevelopmentofsocialandeconomicculture,thecategoriesandquantitiesofsubsistencemeansforpeoplewouldincrease.Anditsqualityandcompositionarealsotochange.Thus,theprocessofsocietyexpandedreproductionisthejusttheprocessthatthedemandincreaseandtobesatisfiedconstantly.Baseonthereasonswementionedabove,expandedreproductiondoesnotequaltosupplementtheinvestmenttoeachdepartmentsimply,butsupplementmorecapitalandlaborstothedepartmentswhichneedmorein-processgoodsfromotherdepartmentsandsupplementlesstothedepartmentswhichneedlessin-processgoodsfromotherdepartments.Whenanewproductappears,weshouldalsoputmoneyonthisdepartment,Inthisway,thesupplyanddemandcompositionischangedstructurally,thesupplyanddemandbalancebasedonthesimplereproductionisdestroyed.Thesocietyaggregatedemandforfinalgoodsalwaysequalsitssupplyforfinalgoodswithintheperiodofonereproductionbecausethepurposeofproductionisthatthesocietyaggregatedemandforfinalgoodsincreaseandtobesatisfied.Anyproductcannotbeconsumedbeforeithasnotbeenproduced.Atthebeginningofexpandedreproductionofsociety,thereisneitherenlargedsupplynorenlargeddemandforfinalgoodsintheeconomicsystem,thereisonlyenlargeddemandforin-processgoodsintheeconomicsystem.Supposethatthesocietyaggregatedemandforfinalgoodsincreasedby them,200productAisincreasedand50productBisdecreasedandthereisnodemandchangingforproductC.Inthiscase,thegovernmentexpandedthereproductionscaleindepartmentAintheprocessofadjustingandcontrollingthesocietyproduction.Wealsosupposethatonlytheextensiveexpandedreproduction(extensivewayofeconomicgrowth)existsinthesystem,whichmeansthattheproductivityandthecapitalorganicstructureofeachdepartmentare technologicalconnectionamongdepartmentswegettheresultthat productA,productBand productCshouldbeusedupwhenweproduce200finalgoodsA.Correspondingly, productA,20productBand30productCshouldnotbeusedbecauseof50finalgoodsBbenotneeded.Nowthesupplyanddemandandthepricesituationarelikethis:
SupplyAndDemand(SandD)PricePRODUCTASIftherearemoredepartments(3)inaeconomicsystem,thesituationalsolikethis.Whentheextensiveexpandedreproductionstartsinasingleproductdepartment(includinginvestmentinanewproductdepartment)thestructuralequilibriumofsupplyanddemandwhichbasedonsimplereproductionofsocietyisdestroyed,thatmakedemandexceedssupplyinall,thepricesandthewholepricelevelwouldgoup.Everysingleproductdepartmentsuppliesitsin-processgoodstotheothers;meanwhileitusestheproductsfromotherdepartmentsasitsin-processgoods.Inthisway,thepricechangingisaffectedbythefollowingfactors:
DemandpullDuringtheimitativetimeofextensiveexpandedreproductionofsociety,thepriceswouldgoupinalldepartments.Butthekindofpriceswouldfallafterarisewhentheequilibriumofsupplyanddemandisformed.CostpushTheproductpricerisingforonedepartmentwouldcausethecostpushinalldepartments.Butthisfactorwouldloseitseffectivesgraduallyalongwiththeproductivityrising.Infact,besidestheextensiveexpandedreproductionofsociety(extensivewayofeconomicgrowth),thereisalsointensiveexpandedreproductionofsociety(intensivewayofeconomicgrowth),whichmeanstheproductivityrisescontinuouslyineachdepartment.Intheprocessofsocietydevelopment,sincethescienceandtechnologyprogressandapplicationorthevelocityofproductivityrisingisalwaysinadisequilibriumstate,withinacertainperiodoftimeinsomedepartmentstheextensiveexpandedreproductionisthemainpartbutinothersmaybetheintensiveoneisthemainpart.Underthepushofcostaction,theproductpricerisesfastinthedepartmentwheretheproductivityrisesslowly.Whileinthedepartmentwheretheproductivityraisesfasttheproductpriceraisesslowlyormaybethepriceisunvariedevencomesdown.Butthemeanleveloftheproductpriceswouldriseinthesystemasawhole.Sotheextensiveexpandedreproductionofsocietycausesmostproductpricestogoup.Furthermore,forthereasonsofgovernmentpolicyguidanceandsciencedevelopment,inthewholenationaleconomy,whethertheextensiveortheintensiveexpandedreproductionofsocietyplaysanimportantrolealwayshasanobvioushistoricalphasecharacteristic.Undertheconditionofcertaineconomicgrowingspeed,whentheextensiveexpandedreproductionofsocietyisthepartinthesystem,thepricelevelwouldgoupandreachtoanewhigherpointthanitwoulddowhentheintensiveoneisthemainpart.Undertheconditionofcertaineconomicgrowingspeed,thepricelevelwouldgoupandreachtoanewhigherpointindevelopingcountriesthanitwoulddointhedevelopedcountries.AccordingtotheFisherexchangeequation,wehave MV=PQ=GNPWhereMisdefinedasthestockofmoneyintheeconomy;Vindicateshowfastmoneymovesinaneconomy;Pispricelevelofgoods;QisthephysicaloutputAwidespreadpricerisingcausesPQtoincrease,inthiscaseonewaykeepthebalanceoftheequationistoincrease wayisincreasethesupplementthemoneystockinthefieldofcirculation.Forexample,thecentralbankdecreasestherequiredreserveratioorsavingandloaninginterestrateforcommercialbanks.Otherwisetheextensiveexpandedreproductionofsocietywon’tgoonregularly.Alongwiththeproductiongoingon,thesupplyanddemandoftheaggregatesocialproductsanditsinternalstructuretendtobeinastateofbalance,thepricesandvaluesofallcommoditiestendtoidentity.Nexttime,whentheextensiveexpandedreproductionofsocietytakesplaceagain,thesituationisalsolikethis.Sotheprocessofextensiveexpandedreproductionofsocietyispreciselytheprocessthatoldbalanceisbrokenandthenewoneisrebuiltconstantly.Thisbalanceisisjustthebalanceofsupplyanddemandofaggregatesocialproductsanditsinternalstructure.Intheprocess,themoneywhichiscorrelativewiththeaggregatesocialproductwouldincreaseordecrease
correspondingly.Thiswouldgoroundandbeginandagain.Inthemetalcurrencysyste