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专业2010级财务管理本科1班
学号201040016
指导教师董玥玥
郑州科技学院工商管理学院
二〇一四年三月
FINANCIALSTATEMENTANALYSISOFEVERAGE
ANDHOWITINFORMSABOUTPORABLIITYAND
PRICE-TO-BOOKRATIOS
1FINANCIALSTATEMENTANALYSISOFEVERAGE
Thefollowinginimicalstatementanalysisseparatestheeffectsofenhancingliabilitiesandoperatingliabilitiesontheportabilityofshareholders’equity.Theanalysisyieldsexplicitleveragingequationsfromwhichthespecificationsfortheempiricalanalysisaredeveloped.Shareholderportability,returnoncommonequity,ismeasuredas
Returnoncommonequity(ROCE)=comprehensivenetincome÷
commonequity
(1)
Appropriateinimicalstatementanalysisdisentanglestheeffectsofleverage.Theanalysisbelow,whichelaboratesonpartsofNazismandPenman(2001),beginsbyidentifyingcomponentsofthebalancesheetandincomestatementthatinvolveoperatingandenhancingactivities.Theportabilityduetoeachactivityisthencalculatedandtwotypesofleverageareintroducedtoexplainbothoperatingandenhancingportabilityandoverallshareholderportability.
1.1DistinguishingthePortabilityofOperationsfromthePortabilityofFinancingActivities
Commonequity=operatingassets+financialassets-operatingliabilities-Financialliabilities
(2)
Thedistinctionherebetweenoperatingassets(liketradereceivables,inventoryandproperty,plantandequipment)andinimicalassets(thedepositsandmarketablesecuritiesthatabsorbexcesscash)ismadeinothercontexts.However,ontheliabilityside,enhancingliabilitiesarealsodistinguishedherefromoperatingliabilities.Ratherthantreatingallliabilitiesasenhancingdebt,onlyliabilitiesthatraisecashforoperations—likebankloans,short-termcommercialpaperandbonds—areclassierassuch.Otherliabilities—suchasaccountspayable,accruedexpenses,deferredrevenue,restructuringliabilitiesandpensionliabilities—arisefromoperations.Thedistinctionisnotassimpleascurrentversuslong-termliabilities;
pensionliabilities,forexample,areusuallylong-term,andshort-termborrowingisacurrentliability.
Rearrangingtermsinequation
(2),
Commonequity=(operatingassets-operatingliabilities)-(financialliabilities-financialassets)OrCommonequity=netoperatingassets-netfinancingdebt
(3)
Thisequationregroupsassetsandliabilitiesintooperatingandenhancingactivities.Netoperatingassetsareoperatingassetslessoperatingliabilities.Soaarmmightinvestininventories,buttotheextenttowhichthesuppliersofthoseinventoriesgrantcredit,thenetinvestmentininventoriesisreduced.
Firmspaywages,buttotheextenttowhichthepaymentofwagesisdeferredinpensionliabilities,thenetinvestmentrequiredtorunthebusinessisreduced.Netenhancingdebtisenhancingdebt(includingpreferredstock)minusinimicalassets.So,aarmmayissuebondstoraisecashforoperationsbutmayalsobuybondswithexcesscashfromoperations.Itsnetindebtednessisitsnetpositioninbonds.Indeedaarmmaybeanetcreditor(withmoreinimicalassetsthaninimicalliabilities)ratherthananetdebtor.
Theincomestatementcanbereformulatedtodistinguishincomethatcomesfromoperatingandenhancingactivities:
Comprehensivenetincome=operatingincome-netfinancingexpense(4)
Operatingincomeisproducedinoperationsandnetinimicalexpenseisincurredintheenhancingofoperations.Interestincomeoninimicalassetsisnettedagainstinterestexpenseoninimicalliabilities(includingpreferreddividends)innetinimicalexpense.Ifinterestincomeisgreaterthaninterestexpense,enhancingactivitiesproducenetinimicalincomeratherthannetinimicalexpense.Bothoperatingincomeandnetinimicalexpense(orincome)isaftertax.3Equations(3)and(4)producecleanmeasuresofafter-taxoperatingportabilityandtheborrowingrate:
Returnonnetoperatingassets(RNOA)=operatingincome÷
netoperatingassets(5)
AndNetborrowingrate(NBR)=netfinancingexpense÷
netfinancingdebt(6)
RNOArecognizesthatportabilitymustbebasedonthenetassetsinvestedinoperations.Soarmscanincreasetheiroperatingportabilitybyconvincingsuppliers,inthecourseofbusiness,tograntorextendcreditterms;
creditreducestheinvestmentthatshareholderswouldotherwisehavetoputinthebusiness.Correspondingly,thenetborrowingrate,byexcludingnon-interestbearingliabilitiesfromthedenominator,givestheappropriateborrowingratefortheenhancingactivities.
NotethatRNOAdiffersfromthemorecommonreturnonassets(ROA),usuallydennedasincomebeforeafter-taxinterestexpensetototalassets.ROAdoesnotdistinguishoperatingandenhancingactivitiesappropriately.UnlikeROA,RNOAexcludesinimicalassetsinthedenominatorandsubtractsoperatingliabilities.NissanandPenman(2001)reportamedianROAforNYSEandAMEXarmsfrom1963–1999ofonly6.8%,butamedianRNOAof10.0%—muchclosertowhatonewouldexpectasareturntobusinessoperations.
1.2FinancialLeverageanditsEffectonShareholderPortability
Fromexpressions(3)through(6),itisstraightforwardtodemonstratethatROCEisaweightedaverageofRNOAandthenetborrowingrate,withweightsderivedfromequation(3):
ROCE=[netoperatingassets÷
commonequity×
RNOA]-[netfinancingdebt÷
Commonequity×
netborrowingrate](7)
Additionalalgebraleadstothefollowingleveragingequation:
ROCE=RNOA+[FLEV×
(RNOA-netborrowingrate)](8)
WhereFLEV,themeasureofleveragefromenhancingactivities,is
Financingleverage(FLEV)=netfinancingdebtcommonequity(9)
TheFLEVmeasureexcludesoperatingliabilitiesbutincludes(asanetagainstenhancingdebt)inimicalassets.Ifinimicalassetsaregreaterthaninimicalliabilities,FLEVisnegative.Theleveragingequation(8)worksfornegativeFLEV(inwhichcasethenetborrowingrateisthereturnonnetinimicalassets).
Thisanalysisbreaksshareholderportability,ROCE,downintothatwhichisduetooperationsandthatwhichisduetoenhancing.FinancialleverageleverstheROCEoverRNOA,withtheleverageeffectdeterminedbytheamountofinimicalleverage(FLEV)andthespreadbetweenRNOAandtheborrowingrate.Thespreadcanbepositive(favorable)ornegative(unfavorable).
1.3OperatingLiabilityLeverageanditsEffectonOperatingPortability
WhileenhancingdebtleversROCE,operatingliabilitieslevertheportabilityofoperations,RNOA.RNOAisoperatingincomerelativetonetoperatingassets,andnetoperatingassetsareoperatingassetsminusoperatingliabilities.So,themoreoperatingliabilitiesaarmhasrelativetooperatingassets,thehigheritsRNOA,assumingnoeffectonoperatingincomeinthenumerator.Theintensityoftheuseofoperatingliabilitiesintheinvestmentbaseisoperatingliabilityleverage:
Operatingliabilityleverage(OLLEV)=operatingliabilities÷
netoperatingassets(10)
Usingoperatingliabilitiestolevertherateofreturnfromoperationsmaynotcomeforfree,however;
theremaybeanumeratoreffectonoperatingincome.Suppliersprovidewhatnominallymaybeinterest-freecredit,butpresumablychargeforthatcreditwithhigherpricesforthegoodsandservicessupplied.Thisisthereasonwhyoperatingliabilitiesareinextricablyapartofoperationsratherthantheenhancingofoperations.Theamountthatsuppliersactuallychargeforthiscreditisdifficulttoidentify.Butthemarketborrowingrateisobservable.Theamountthatsupplierswouldimplicitlychargeinpricesforthecreditatthisborrowingratecanbeestimatedasabenchmark:
Marketinterestonoperatingliabilities=operatingliabilities×
marketborrowingrate
Wherethemarketborrowingrate,giventhatmostcreditisshortterm,canbeapproximatedbytheafter-taxshort-termborrowingrate.Thisimplicitcostisbenchmark,foritisthecostthatmakessuppliersindifferentinsupplyingcreedsuppliersarefullycompensatediftheychargeimplicitinterestatthecostborrowingtosupplythecredit.Or,alternatively,thearmbuyingthegoodsorservicesisindifferentbetweentradecreditandenhancingpurchasesattheborrowingrate.
Toanalyzetheeffectofoperatingliabilityleverageonoperatingportability,wedine:
Returnonoperatingassets(ROOA)=(operatingincome+marketinterestonoperatingliabilities)÷
operatingassets(11)
ThenumeratorofROOAadjustsoperatingincomeforthefullimplicitcostoftradecredit.Ifsuppliersfullychargetheimplicitcostofcredit,ROOAisthereturnofoperatingassetsthatwouldbeearnedhadthearmnooperatingliabilityleverage.suppliersdonotfullychargeforthecredit,ROOAmeasuresthereturnfrooperationsthatincludesthefavorableimplicitcredittermsfromsuppliers.
Similartotheleveragingequation(8)forROCE,RNOAcanbeexpressedas:
RNOA=ROOA+[OLLEV×
(ROOA-marketborrowingrate)](12)
Wheretheborrowingrateistheafter-taxshort-terminterestrate.GivenROOA,theeffectofleverageonportabilityisdeterminedbythelevelofoperatingliabilityleverageandthespreadbetweenROOAandtheshort-termafter-taxinterestrate.Likeenhancingleverage,theeffectcanbefavorableorunfavorable:
Firmscanre