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财务管理外文文献
ProjectSchedulingintheFinancialManagementofSupply
Chains(excerpts)
Author:
DurukanKalyoncu,Guldane
AcceptanceDate:
June2012
Inliterature,numerouspublicationsonmanagingsupplychainsexistmostofwhichhasfocusedonthephysicalaspectsofthesupplychains.Althoughthebottomlineisveryimportant
formanagers,therearealimitednumberofpublicationsthatcombinethefinancialmanagementofsupplychainswiththephysicalmanagement.Thosestudiesaddressthesupplychainfinancialperformancemeasurementwithdifferentapproachesandmeasures;oneofwhichhasbeenCashConversionCycle(CCC).CashConversionCycleisametricthatmeasuresthetimeelapsedfrom
thepaymenttothesupplierstillthereceiptofmoneyfromthecustomers.Thusitisatwo
dimensionalconceptthatincorporatestimeandfinancialconsiderationssimultaneously.Inthat
respectitenablescompaniestointegratetheoperationalschedulingwiththefinancialscheduling.
WhenthecomponentsoftheCCCareexaminedseparately;theAveragePayableandAverage
ReceivableTermsarerelatedtothecompanyfinancialpolicyandcontracttermsbetweensupply
chainpartners.Ontheotherhand,InventoryConversionPerioddependsonthefirm’sinven
policy.Figure1assumesthattheinventoryisinretailer’swarehouseonthesamedaywithorder
placementtothemanufacturer.Alsoitassumesthatthereisnooutboundtransportationtimesoon
thedaythatinventoryleavestheretailer’swarehousebytheitiscustomreceiverdandAccounts
Receivableisissued.AccordingtothoseassumptionsInventoryConversionPerioddependsonthe
optimalorderingquantity.
Inthesensethat,CCCisembracingAccountPayable,AccountReceivableandInventory
ConversionPeriod;firsttwoarerelatedtotimingofcashinflowsandoutflowsandthethirdis
relatedtofirm’soperationspolicy,itisabridgingmeasurementbetweenoperationalandfinancial
planning.
Also,sinceCCCisthetimepassedfromcashoutflowtocashinflow,itmeasureshowlongthe
firmneedsoutsidefinancing.Thusmanyscholars(FarrisandHutchison(2002),Soenen(1993),BintiMohamadandBintiMohdSaad(2010))statedthattheshorterCCCthebetterthecompanyfinancesare.However,therearesomecomplicationsregardingtheCashConversionCyclemetricapproachinfinancialmanagementofsupplychains.Eventhoughsupplychainpartnersputconsiderableeffortstohavecontroloverthestreamofcashinflowbymanagingpaymentterms,
thesecashinflowsaremostlyprobabilisticduetounpredictableconditionsofthedownstreamplayers.Ontheotherhandcashoutflowstotheupperlayersofthechainisdeterministic;however
thisdependsonthecashavailableatthetime.Figure2depictsthe“downstream”and“upstream”supplychainpartners.
UpstreamPartnersDownstreamPartnersVendorManufacturerDistributorRetailerCustomer.
SupplyChainLevelsAsseenfromtheGuptaandDutta’sstudy(2011),theearlypaymentofthe
debtsresultinthelowestcashoutflowatthecurrentperiod,yetitdoesnotnecessarilyresultinthelowestpresentvalueofthecashoutflow.Thusmanagingcashflowsinanefficientwayisnotaneasytasktakingintoaccounttheprobabilisticinflowsinadditiontothetradeoffsbetweenpromptpaymentofthedebt,whichreducestheamounttobepaid,andlatepayment,whichincreasesthe
interestearnedoncashdeposits.ThosefinancialconsiderationsbecomeevenmorecomplicatedforsupplychainswithlongLeadTimes.SoLeadTimereductionhasahugestrategicimportanceforsuccessfuloperationofthosechains.Nevertheless,managingLeadTime,whichismostlydeterministic,isnotaneasytaskeitherbecauseitaffectsthecashflowstreamindirectorindirectways.Indirectly,LeadTimereductionaffectsthecashflowsbyimprovingcustomerserviceandresponsivenesstodemandshifts.Firstofall,LeadTimecompressionisacostlyprocessincludinglaborcostandadditionaltransportationcost.Second,inventoryholdingcostcanbereducedduetolowerrequirementforsafetystock.Third,reducingLeadTimereducestheCashConversionCycle.
AstheCashConversionCyclemeasureshowlongthecompany
’scashistiedtoaccountspayables
andinventoriestillfulfillinganorder;shorteningtheLeadTimedecreasescostofborrowing,and
alsoitenablesthecompanyto
delivertheproducts
or
servicessooner;thusthereceivable
collection
periodstartsearlier.Although
manyscholarsworked
onLeadTime
compressioninsupply
chainssuchasBeesley(1996)andTowill(1996)theybothignoretheinvestmentcostsneededto
achieveareductioninLeadTime.AlsoneitherBeesleynorTowilltouchthecostofborrowing
issue,butrathertheyemphasizetheindirectfinancial
effectsoftime
reduction,suchasfast
responsetomarketandenabling
amoreaccuratedemandforecast.Whatismore,mostofthe
supplychainfinancialmodelingarticlesarenottakingintoaccountthetimeflexibilityfactor.Asknown,companiescanreduceLeadTimesinexchangeforacost.Sowhilestudyingthefinancialaspectsofthesupplychainthisflexibilityshouldbetakenintoaccount.WhereasBen-Dayaand
Raouf’(1994)s
studyfocusesontheLeadTime
flexibility
issuebystudyingthecostsofLead
Timereductionalongwiththeeffectsontheinventorypolicysuchasreorderpointandoptimal
orderquantity
whichaffectsorderingandinventoryholdingcosts,theirstudydoesn’modelta
wholesupplychainwherethetransactionswithupstreamplayersaretakenintoaccount.
Tosumup,inliterature
thereislack
of
acomprehensive
approachforthefinancial
managementofthesupplychains.Alsotoday’increasinglydynamiccompanies
cannotbe
managedwithstaticmodels.Thus,predictive
integratedmodelsthattakeintoaccountinstable
financialmarketsandalsocapableofensuring
required
liquidity
whileproviding
timelyand
efficientresponsetoordersiscrucial.So,withthepurposeofbuildingacomprehensiveapproach
thatembracestimeandmoneyconsiderations
simultaneously,our
studyusesCashConversion
Cycleasthedecisionvariable
withrespecttowhichweassesstheFinancialPerformance.By
usingproject-schedulingmethodsintimingoftheoperationsandpayments,ourstudyaimstofind
theoptimalCashConversionCyclethatgeneratesthehighestaccumulatedcashattheendofthe
one-yearperiod.
However,inourmodelcashinflowisprobabilisticthuswedon
’thavecontroloveritseffect
ontheoptimalCCC.Asaresultsomeofthevaluesthatarechangedinordertofindtheoptimal
CCCareorderquantity,reorderpointandtheLeadTimeandPayableterm.Soourstudystarts
withanalyzingtheissuesaffectingfinancialmanagementofsupplychainsandthencoverstherelatedpreviousworkthatthemodelisbuiltupon.InthenextissuesaffectingthefinancialmanagementinSCarediscussed.InsectionIIIreviewoftheliteratureispresentedandinSectionIVthemathematicalmodelispresentedwiththeobjectiveofmaximizingtheaccumulatednetcashattheendofaone-yearperiod.ThemodelconsiderstimingofthecashinflowandoutflowsandLeadTimecrashingcostssimultaneously.Finallyillustrativeexampleandsensitivityanalysisarepresentedfollowedbytheconclusionpartsummarizingfindingsofthestudy.
Bullwhipeffect:
Itisoneofmostsignificantreasonsofsupplychaininefficiency.Itistheamplificationofdemandvarianceasthedemandinformationpassesfromthelowerlevels
(customers)ofthesupplychaintotheupperlevels(manufacturerslevel).Itmaybeseverelydestructiveforthefinancialmanagementofthesupplychainasawhole,particularlytheupperlevelsaretheonesmostaffected.Eachpartner,knowingthattheforecaststheyretrievefromthelowerpartnersarenotonehundredpercentaccurate,buildssafetystock.Thustheorderstothe
upperlevelsincreaseasmoreandmoresafetystockisbuiltinthesystem,whichleadstheuppertierstohaveanimpressionthatthedemandismorethanitsactuallevel.SolongerLeadTimesresultinhighersafetystocklevelswhichinturnleadsbiggeramplificationsintheupperlevelsas
knownastheBullwhipEffect.Demandforecast:
Formaketostockinventorysystemsdemand
forecastisthemostimportant
aspectofproduction
management.Ascycletimeincreases,
forecastshavetobemadeforfartherperiods,which
in
turnincreasestheforecasterrors.And
whentheaccuracyoftheforecastdecreases,firmsareforcedtokeepmoresafetyinventoryand
thusincurhigherinventory
holdingcost.Ontheflipsideofthecoin,evenifafirmdecidesto
keeplowinventorylevels,insuchablurryenvironmentthereishighprobabilitythatitfallsshort
inrespondingtocustomerorderswhichhurtstheprofitsasmuchastheinventoryholdingcosts.
Thus,byshorteningthesupplychaincycletimetheentirechainbenefitsfromaccuratedemand
forecast.
Costofborrowing/
investing:
Costof
borrowing
isanotherkeyaspectofthefinancial
managementofthesupply
chain.Sincemore
interestischargedwiththetimeelapsedoverthe
issuedateofthedebt,firmsshouldensurecollection
ofmoney
fromthecustomersasearlyas
possibleinordertopaythedebts.Apparently,collectionperiod
’sprimarydeterminantisthecy
timesincethecustomersusually
arenotwillingtopaybefore
theyreceivetheproductunless
someincentivessuchasdiscountsareofferedinadvance.
Inventoryholdingcost:
AccordingtoBen-Dayaand
Raouf’s(1994)economicorderquantity
(EOQ)model,asLeadTimeincreases,optimalorderquantityQ*increases;thereforetheaverage
inventoryheldbythefirmo