概率论与数理统计英文版总结Word下载.doc

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概率论与数理统计英文版总结Word下载.doc

Theorem2.4.1Ifandaremutuallyexclusive,then

(2.4.1)

Mutuallyindependent事件的独立性

Twoeventsandaresaidtobeindependentif

OrTwoeventsandareindependentifandonlyif

.

ConditionalProbability条件概率

Theprobabilityofaneventisfrequentlyinfluencedbyotherevents.

DefinitionTheconditionalprobabilityof,given,denotedby,isdefinedby

if.(2.5.1)

Themultiplicationtheorem乘法定理

Ifareevents,then

Iftheeventsareindependent,thenforanysubset,

(全概率公式totalprobability)

Theorem2.6.1.IftheeventsconstituteapartitionofthesamplespaceSsuchthatforthanforanyeventof,

(2.6.2)

(贝叶斯公式Bayes’formula.)

Theorem2.6.2IftheeventsconstituteapartitionofthesamplespaceSsuchthatforthanforanyeventAofS,,

.for(2.6.2)

ProofBythedefinitionofconditionalprobability,

Usingthetheoremoftotalprobability,wehave

1.randomvariabledefinition

Definition3.1.1Arandomvariableisarealvaluedfunctiondefinedonasamplespace;

i.e.itassignsarealnumbertoeachsamplepointinthesamplespace.

2.Distributionfunction

Definition3.1.2Letbearandomvariableonthesamplespace.Thenthefunction

.

iscalledthedistributionfunctionof

NoteThedistributionfunctionisdefinedonrealnumbers,notonsamplespace.

3.Properties

Thedistributionfunctionofarandomvariablehasthefollowingproperties:

(1)isnon-decreasing.

Infact,if,thentheeventisasubsetoftheevent,thus

(2),

.

(3)Forany,.Thisistosay,thedistributionfunctionofarandomvariableisrightcontinuous.

3.2DiscreteRandomVariables离散型随机变量

Definition3.2.1Arandomvariableiscalledadiscreterandomvariable,ifittakesvaluesfromafinitesetor,asetwhoseelementscanbewrittenasasequence

geometricdistribution(几何分布)

X

1

2

3

4

k

P

p

q1p

q2p

q3p

qk-1p

Binomialdistribution(二项分布)

Definition3.4.1ThenumberofsuccessesinBernoullitrialsiscalledabinomialrandomvariable.Theprobabilitydistributionofthisdiscreterandomvariableiscalledthebinomialdistributionwithparametersand,denotedby.

poissondistribution(泊松分布)

Definition3.5.1AdiscreterandomvariableiscalledaPoissonrandomvariable,ifittakesvaluesfromtheset,andif

(3.5.1)

Distribution(3.5.1)iscalledthePoissondistributionwithparameter,denotedby.

Expectation(mean)数学期望

Definition3.3.1Letbeadiscreterandomvariable.Theexpectationormeanofisdefinedas

(3.3.1)

2.Variance方差standarddeviation(标准差)

Definition3.3.2Letbeadiscreterandomvariable,havingexpectation.Thenthevarianceof,denotebyisdefinedastheexpectationoftherandomvariable

(3.3.6)

Thesquarerootofthevariance,denoteby,iscalledthestandarddeviationof:

(3.3.7)

probabilitydensityfunction概率密度函数

Definition4.1.1Afunctionf(x)definedoniscalledaprobabilitydensityfunction(概率密度函数)if:

(i);

(ii)f(x)isintergrable(可积的)onand.

Definition4.1.2

Letf(x)beaprobabilitydensityfunction.IfXisarandomvariablehavingdistributionfunction

(4.1.1)

thenXiscalledacontinuousrandomvariablehavingdensityfunctionf(x).Inthiscase,

.(4.1.2)

5.Mean(均值)

Definition4.1.2LetXbeacontinuousrandomvariablehavingprobabilitydensityfunctionf(x).Thenthemean(orexpectation)ofXisdefinedby

(4.1.3)

providedtheintegralconvergesabsolutely.

6.variance 方差

Similarly,thevarianceandstandarddeviationofacontinuousrandomvariableXisdefinedby

(4.1.4)

WhereisthemeanofX,isreferredtoasthestandarddeviation.

Weeasilyget

.(4.1.5)

.

4.2UniformDistribution均匀分布

Theuniformdistribution,withtheparametersaandb,hasprobabilitydensityfunction

4.5ExponentialDistribution指数分布Definition4.5.1AcontinuousvariableXhasanexponentialdistributionwithparameter,ifitsdensityfunctionisgivenby

(4.5.1)

Theorem4.5.1ThemeanandvarianceofacontinuousrandomvariableXhavingexponentialdistributionwithparameterisgivenby

4.3NormalDistribution正态分布

1.Definition

Theequationofthenormalprobabilitydensity,whosegraphisshowninFigure4.3.1,is

4.4NormalApproximationtotheBinomialDistribution(二项分布)

nislarge(n>

30),piscloseto0.50,

4.7Chebyshev’sTheorem(切比雪夫定理)

Theorem4.7.1Ifaprobabilitydistributionhasmeanμandstandarddeviationσ,theprobabilityofgettingavaluewhichdeviatesfromμbyatleastkσisatmost.Symbolically,

Jointprobabilitydistribution(联合分布)

Inthestudyofprobability,givenatleasttworandomvariablesX,Y,...,thataredefinedonaprobabilityspace,thejointprobabilitydistributionforX,Y,...isaprobabilitydistributionthatgivestheprobabilitythateachofX,Y,...fallsinanyparticularrangeordiscretesetofvaluesspecifiedforthatvariable.

5.2Conditionaldistribution条件分布

ConsistentwiththedefinitionofconditionalprobabilityofeventswhenAistheeventX=xandBistheeventY=y,theconditionalprobabilitydistributionofXgivenY=yisdefinedas

forallxprovided.

5.3Statisticalindependent随机变量的独立性

Definition5.3.1Supposethepair{X,Y}ofrealrandomvariableshasjointdistributionfunctionF(x,y).IftheF(x,y)obeytheproductrule

forallx,y.

thetworandomvariablesXandYareindependent,orthepair{X,Y}isindependent.

5.4CovarianceandCorrelation协方差和相关系数

WenowdefinetworelatedquantitieswhoseroleincharacterizingtheinterdependenceofXandYwewanttoexamine.

Definition5.4.1SupposeXandYarerandomvariables.Thecovarianceofthepair{X,Y}is

Thecorrelationcoefficientofthepair{X,Y}is

Where

Definition5.4.2TherandomvariablesXandYaresaidtobeuncorrelatediff.

5.5LawofLargeNumbersandCentralLimitTheorem中心极限定理

Wecanfindthesteadilyofthefrequencyoftheeventsinlargenumberofrandomphenomenon.Andtheaverageoflargenumberofrandomvariablesarealsosteadiness.Theseresultsarethelawoflargenumbers.

Theorem5.5.1Ifasequenceofrandomvariablesisindependent,with

then

.(5.5.1)

Theorem5.5.2LetequalsthenumberoftheeventAinnBernoullitrials,andpistheprobabilityoftheeventAonanyoneBernoullitrial,then

.(5.5.2)

(频率具有稳定性)

Theorem5.5.3Ifisindependent,with

then.

population(总体)

Definition6.2.1Apopulationisthesetofdataormeasurementsconsistsofallconceivablypossibleobservationsfromallobjectsinagivenphenomenon.

Apopulationmayconsistoffinitelyorinfinitelymanyvarieties.

sample(样本、子样)

Definition6.2.2Asampleisasubsetofthepopulationfromwhichpeoplecandrawconclusionsaboutthewhole.

sampling(抽样)

takingasample:

Theprocessofperforminganexperimenttoobtainasamplefromthepopulationiscalledsampling.

中位数

Definition6.2.4Ifarandomsamplehastheorderstatistics,then

(i)TheSampleMedianis

(ii)TheSampleRangeis

SampleDistributions抽样分布

1.samplingdistributionofthemean均值的抽样分布

Theorem6.3.1Ifismeanoftherandomsampleofsizefromarandomvariablewhichhasmeanandthevariance,then

and.

Itiscustomarytowriteasandas.

Here,iscalledtheexpectationofthemean.均值的期望

iscalledthestandarderrorofthemean.均值的标准差

7.1PointEstimate点估计

Definition7.1.1Supposeisaparameterofapopulation,isarandomsamplefromthispopulation,andisastatisticthatisafunctionof.Now,totheobservedvalue,ifweuseasanestimatedvalueof,theniscalledapointestimatorofandisreferredasapointestimateof.Thepointestimatorisalsooftenwrittenas.

Unbiasedestimator(无偏估计量)

Definition7.1.2.Supposeisanestimatorofaparameter.Thenisunbiasedifandonlyif

minimumvarianceunbiasedestimator(最小方差无偏估计量)

Definition7.1.3Letbeanunbiasedestimatorof.Ifforanywhichisalsoanunbiasedestimatorof,wehave

theniscalledtheminimumvarianceunbiasedestimatorof.Sometimesitisalsocalledbestunbiasedestimator.

3.MethodofMoments矩估计的方法

Definition7.1.4

SupposeconstitutearandomsamplefromthepopulationXthat

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