权威杂志《经济学人》英文原版(整理完全版)Word下载.doc
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Thatboysandgirls—andmenandwomen—areprogrammedbyevolutiontobehavedifferentlyfromoneanotherisnowwidelyaccepted.Surely,noonetodaywouldthinkofdoingwhatJohnMoney,ofJohnsHopkinsUniversity,didin1967:
amputatingthegenitaliaofaboywhohadsufferedabotchedcircumcision,andadvisingtheparentstobringhimupasagirl.Theexperimentdidn'
twork,andtheconsequencesweretragic.Butwhichofthedifferencesbetweenthesexesare“biological”,inthesensethattheyhavebeenhonedbyevolution,andwhichare“cultural”or“environmental”andmightmoreeasilybealteredbychangedcircumstances,isstillfiercelydebated.
ThesensitivityofthequestionwasshownlastyearbyafuroreatHarvardUniversity.LarrySummers,thenHarvard'
spresident,causedastormwhenhesuggestedthatinnateabilitycouldbeanimportantreasonwhythereweresofewwomeninthetoppositionsinmathematics,engineeringandthephysicalsciences.
Evenasapropositionfordiscussion,thisisunacceptabletosome.Butbiologicalexplanationsofhumanbehaviouraremakingacomebackasthegenerationofacademicsthatfearedthemasacovertwayofjustifyingeugenics,orofthwartingMarxistutopianism,isretiring.Thesuccessofneo-Darwinismhasprovidedanintellectualunderpinningfordiscussionaboutwhysomedifferencesbetweenthesexesmightbeinnate.Andnewscanningtechniqueshaveenabledresearcherstoexaminethebrain'
sinteriorwhileitisworking,showingthatmaleandfemalebrainsdo,atonelevel,operatedifferently.Theresults,however,donotalwayssupportpastcliché
saboutwhatthedifferencesinquestionactuallyare.
Differencesinbehaviourbetweenthesexesmust,insomeway,bereflectionsofsystematicdifferencesbetweenthebrainsofmalesandfemales.Suchdifferencescertainlyexist,butdrawinginferencesfromthemisnotaseasyasitmayappear.
Forastart,men'
sbrainsareabout9%largerthanthoseofwomen.Thatusedtobecitedasevidenceofmen'
ssupposedlygreaterintelligence.Actually,thedifferenceislargely(andprobablycompletely)explainedbythefactthatmenarebiggerthanwomen.Inrecentyears,moredetailedexaminationhasrefinedthepicture.Femalebrainshaveahigherpercentageofgreymatter(themanifestation,enbloc,ofthecentralbodiesofnervecells),andthusalowerpercentageofwhitematter(themanifestationofthelong,thinfilamentsthatconnectnervecellstogether),thanmalebrains.That,plusthefactthatinsomeregionsofthefemalebrain,nervecellsarepackedmoredenselythaninmen,meansthatthenumberofnervecellsinmaleandfemalebrainsmay
besimilar.
Oddly,though,themainconnectionbetweenthetwohemispheresofthebrain,whichisknownasthecorpuscallosumandismadeofwhitematter,isproportionatelysmallerinmenthanwomen.Thismayexplainwhymenuseonlyonesideofthebraintoprocesssomeproblemsforwhichwomenemploybothsides.
ThesedifferencesinstructureandwiringdonotappeartohaveanyinfluenceonintelligenceasmeasuredbyIQtests.Itdoes,however,seemthatthesexescarryoutthesetestsindifferentways.Inoneexample,wheremenandwomenperformequallywellinatestthatasksthemtoworkoutwhethernonsensewordsrhyme,brainscanningshowsthatwomenuseareasonboththerightandtheleftsidesofthebraintoaccomplishthetask.Men,bycontrast,useonlyareasontheleftside.Thereisalsoacorrelationbetweenmathematicalreasoningandtemporal-lobeactivityinmen—butnoneinwomen.Moregenerally,menseemtorelymoreontheirgreymatterfortheirIQ,whereaswomenrelymoreontheirwhitematter.
Americanexceptionalism
Theworld'
sbiggestinsurancemarketistoosplintered
KANSASCITY,Missouri,isknownmoreforitshistoricalroleasacattletownthanasafinancialhub.Butitistothismidwesterncity,America'
s26thlargest,thatregulatorsandinsuranceexecutivesfromaroundtheglobeheadwhentheywanttomakesenseoftheworld'
slargest—andoneofitsweirdest—insurancemarkets.
ForitisinKansasCitythattheNationalAssociationofInsuranceCommissioners(NAIC)ishoused.Itoverseesamarketaccountingforone-thirdofpremiumswrittenworldwide.OutsideKansasCity,themarketbecomesaregulatoryfree-for-all.EachofAmerica'
s50states,plustheDistrictofColombia,governsitsinsuranceindustryinitsownway.
Inanincreasinglyglobalinsurancemarket,America'
sstate-basedsystemiscomingunderstrongpressuretoreform.InsurancehaschangeddramaticallysincetheNAICwassetupin1871,withgrowingsophisticationinunderwritingandriskmanagement.PremiumsinAmericahaveballoonedto$1.1trillionandmarketpowerisincreasinglyconcentratedinthehandsofbigplayers(someofthemforeign-owned)thatarepushingforanoverhaulofthestate-basedsystem.“It'
sanextremelyexpensiveandByzantineprocess,”saysBobHartwig,aneconomistwiththeInsuranceInformationInstitute,aresearchgroup.
Thoughafiercelypoliticalissue,congressionalsupportforsimplifyingthesystemisgainingground.BothhousesofCongressarelookingatproposalstochangethestate-basedsystem.Biginsurersfavouraversionthatwouldimplementanoptionalfederalcharterallowingthemtobypassthestate-bystateregulatoryprocessiftheychoose.Asimilarsystemalreadyexistsforbanks.
Proponentsofthechangesseemoreefficiency,anabilitytorolloutproductsmorequicklynationallyand,ultimately,betterofferingsforconsumersasaresult.Yetsomeconsumergroupsfavourstate-basedregulation.Theybelieveitkeepspremiumslowerthantheyotherwisewouldbe.PremiumsasapercentageofgrossoutputarelowerinAmericathaninseveralothercountries.
Thepoliticalheadwindsarestrong:
insurancecommissionersareelectedofficialsinsomestates(California,forinstance)andappointedbythegovernorinothers.Theindustryisalsosplit:
mostofthecountry'
s4,500insurersaresmall,andmanyofthemhaveclosetieswithstate-basedregulators,whosesurvivaltheysupport.Buteventheseforcesmayeventuallybeovercome.
ElsewhereintheindustryinAmerica,thereareothercallsforreform.Inabackdoorformofprotectionism,Americanreinsurancefirmshavelongbenefitedfromaregulationthatrequiresforeignreinsurerswritingcross-borderbusinessintoAmericatopostmorecollateralthantheydo.“IfyouoperateoutsidethebordersoftheUS,theydon'
ttrustyouoneinch,”lamentsJulianJames,headofinternationalbusinessatLloyd'
sofLondon,whichwrites38%ofitsbusinessinAmerica.
Thecollateralrequirementwasestablishedbecauseofworriesaboutregulatorystandardsabroad,andthefinancialstrengthofglobalreinsurers.Todayregulatorystandardshavebeentightenedinmanyforeignmarkets.AmajorityofAmerica'
sreinsurancecovernowcomesfromfirmsbasedabroad,includingmanythathavesetupoffshoreinBermuda(fortaxreasons)primarilytoserveAmerica.
Toohottohandle
Dell'
sbatteryrecallrevealsthetechnologyindustry'
svulnerabilities
THEREisthenailtest,inwhichateamofengineersdrivesalargemetalnailthroughabatterycelltoseeifitexplodes.Inanothertrial,laboratorytechniciansbakethebatteriesinanoventosimulatetheeffectsofadigitaldeviceleftinaclosedcaronaswelteringday—tocheckthereactionofthechemicalsinside.Onproductionruns,randombatchesofbatteriesaretestedfortemperature,efficiency,energydensityandoutput.
Buttherigorousprocessesthatgointomakingsophisticated,rechargeablebatteries—theheartofbillionsofelectronicgadgetsaroundtheworld—werenotenough.OnAugust14thDell,acomputercompany,saiditwouldreplace4.1mlithium-ionbatteriesmadebySony,aconsumer-electronicsfirm,inlaptopcomputerssoldbetween2004andlastmonth.Ahandfulofcustomershadreportedthebatteriesoverheating,catchingfireandevenexploding—includingonecelebratedcaseataconferencethisyearin
Japan,whichwascapturedonfilmandpassedaroundtheinternet.Thecosttothetwocompaniesisexpectedtobebetween$200mand$400m.
Insomeways,Dellisavictimofitssuccess.Thecompanywasapioneerinturningthepersonalcomputerintoacommodity,whichmeantsqueezingsupplierstothelastpenny,usingeconomiesofscalebyplacinghugeorders,andrunningefficientsupplychainswithlittleroomforerror.Itallcreatedavolatileenvironmentinwhichmistakescanhavegraveeffects.
Sincelithium-ionbatterieswereintroducedin1991,theircapacitytooverheatandburstintoflamehasbeenwellknown.Indeed,in2004Americabannedthemascargoonpassengerplanes,asafirehazard.Butthelatestproblemsseemtohavearisenbecauseofthemanufacturingprocess,whichdemandsperfection.“Ifthereisevenanano-sizedparticleofdust,asmallmetalshardorwatercondensationthatgetsintothebatterycell,itcanoverheatandexplode,”saysSaraBradfordofFrost&
Sullivan,aconsultancy.Astheenergyneedsofdeviceshavegrownrapidly,sohavethedemandsonbatteries.
Thecomputingindustry'
scultureisalsopartlytoblam