Letters from Warren Buffet to stockholders 1981.docx
《Letters from Warren Buffet to stockholders 1981.docx》由会员分享,可在线阅读,更多相关《Letters from Warren Buffet to stockholders 1981.docx(29页珍藏版)》请在冰点文库上搜索。
![Letters from Warren Buffet to stockholders 1981.docx](https://file1.bingdoc.com/fileroot1/2023-6/13/c80c8dad-3747-4bf0-bdbd-9ce93e099bb6/c80c8dad-3747-4bf0-bdbd-9ce93e099bb61.gif)
LettersfromWarrenBuffettostockholders1981
BERKSHIREHATHAWAYINC.
February26,1982
TotheShareholdersofBerkshireHathawayInc.:
Operatingearningsof$39.7millionin1981amountedto
15.2%ofbeginningequitycapital(valuingsecuritiesatcost)
comparedto17.8%in1980.Ournewplanthatallowsstockholders
todesignatecorporatecharitablecontributions(detailedlater)
reducedearningsbyabout$900,000in1981.Thisprogram,which
weexpecttocontinuesubjecttoannualevaluationofour
corporatetaxposition,hadnotbeeninitiatedin1980.
Non-ControlledOwnershipEarnings
Inthe1980annualreportwediscussedextensivelythe
conceptofnon-controlledownershipearnings,i.e.,Berkshire�s
shareoftheundistributedearningsofcompanieswedon�tcontrol
orsignificantlyinfluencebutinwhichwe,nevertheless,have
importantinvestments.(Wewillbegladtomakeavailabletonew
orprospectiveshareholderscopiesofthatdiscussionorothers
fromearlierreportstowhichwereferinthisreport.)No
portionofthoseundistributedearningsisincludedinthe
operatingearningsofBerkshire.
However,ourbeliefisthat,inaggregate,those
undistributedand,therefore,unrecordedearningswillbe
translatedintotangiblevalueforBerkshireshareholdersjustas
surelyasifsubsidiarieswecontrolhadearned,retained-and
reported-similarearnings.
Weknowthatthistranslationofnon-controlledownership
earningsintocorrespondingrealizedandunrealizedcapitalgains
forBerkshirewillbeextremelyirregularastotimeof
occurrence.Whilemarketvaluestrackbusinessvaluesquitewell
overlongperiods,inanygivenyeartherelationshipcangyrate
capriciously.Marketrecognitionofretainedearningsalsowill
beunevenlyrealizedamongcompanies.Itwillbedisappointingly
lowornegativeincaseswhereearningsareemployednon-
productively,andfargreaterthandollar-for-dollarofretained
earningsincasesofcompaniesthatachievehighreturnswith
theiraugmentedcapital.Overall,ifagroupofnon-controlled
companiesisselectedwithreasonableskill,thegroupresult
shouldbequitesatisfactory.
Inaggregate,ournon-controlledbusinessinterestshave
morefavorableunderlyingeconomiccharacteristicsthanour
controlledbusinesses.That�sunderstandable;theareaofchoice
hasbeenfarwider.Smallportionsofexceptionallygood
businessesareusuallyavailableinthesecuritiesmarketsat
reasonableprices.Butsuchbusinessesareavailablefor
purchaseintheirentiretyonlyrarely,andthenalmostalwaysat
highprices.
GeneralAcquisitionBehavior
Asourhistoryindicates,wearecomfortablebothwithtotal
ownershipofbusinessesandwithmarketablesecurities
representingsmallportionsofbusinesses.Wecontinuallylook
forwaystoemploylargesumsineacharea.(Butwetrytoavoid
smallcommitments-�Ifsomething�snotworthdoingatall,it�s
notworthdoingwell�.)Indeed,theliquidityrequirementsofour
insuranceandtradingstampbusinessesmandatemajorinvestments
inmarketablesecurities.
Ouracquisitiondecisionswillbeaimedatmaximizingreal
economicbenefits,notatmaximizingeithermanagerialdomainor
reportednumbersforaccountingpurposes.(Inthelongrun,
managementsstressingaccountingappearanceovereconomic
substanceusuallyachievelittleofeither.)
Regardlessoftheimpactuponimmediatelyreportable
earnings,wewouldratherbuy10%ofWonderfulBusinessTatX
persharethan100%ofTat2Xpershare.Mostcorporate
managerspreferjustthereverse,andhavenoshortageofstated
rationalesfortheirbehavior.
However,wesuspectthreemotivations-usuallyunspoken-
tobe,singlyorincombination,theimportantonesinmosthigh-
premiumtakeovers:
(1)Leaders,businessorotherwise,seldomaredeficientin
animalspiritsandoftenrelishincreasedactivityand
challenge.AtBerkshire,thecorporatepulsenever
beatsfasterthanwhenanacquisitionisinprospect.
(2)Mostorganizations,businessorotherwise,measure
themselves,aremeasuredbyothers,andcompensatetheir
managersfarmorebytheyardstickofsizethanbyany
otheryardstick.(AskaFortune500managerwherehis
corporationstandsonthatfamouslistand,invariably,
thenumberrespondedwillbefromthelistrankedby
sizeofsales;hemaywellnotevenknowwherehis
corporationplacesonthelistFortunejustas
faithfullycompilesrankingthesame500corporationsby
profitability.)
(3)Manymanagementsapparentlywereoverexposedin
impressionablechildhoodyearstothestoryinwhichthe
imprisonedhandsomeprinceisreleasedfromatoad�s
bodybyakissfromabeautifulprincess.Consequently,
theyarecertaintheirmanagerialkisswilldowonders
fortheprofitabilityofCompanyT(arget).
Suchoptimismisessential.Absentthatrosyview,
whyelseshouldtheshareholdersofCompanyA(cquisitor)
wanttoownaninterestinTatthe2Xtakeovercost
ratherthanattheXmarketpricetheywouldpayifthey
madedirectpurchasesontheirown?
Inotherwords,investorscanalwaysbuytoadsatthe
goingpricefortoads.Ifinvestorsinsteadbankroll
princesseswhowishtopaydoublefortherighttokiss
thetoad,thosekisseshadbetterpacksomereal
dynamite.We�veobservedmanykissesbutveryfew
miracles.Nevertheless,manymanagerialprincesses
remainserenelyconfidentaboutthefuturepotencyof
theirkisses-evenaftertheircorporatebackyardsare
knee-deepinunresponsivetoads.
Infairness,weshouldacknowledgethatsomeacquisition
recordshavebeendazzling.Twomajorcategoriesstandout.
Thefirstinvolvescompaniesthat,throughdesignor
accident,havepurchasedonlybusinessesthatareparticularly
welladaptedtoaninflationaryenvironment.Suchfavored
businessmusthavetwocharacteristics:
(1)anabilityto
increasepricesrathereasily(evenwhenproductdemandisflat
andcapacityisnotfullyutilized)withoutfearofsignificant
lossofeithermarketshareorunitvolume,and
(2)anabilityto
accommodatelargedollarvolumeincreasesinbusiness(often
producedmorebyinflationthanbyrealgrowth)withonlyminor
additionalinvestmentofcapital.Managersofordinaryability,
focusingsolelyonacquisitionpossibilitiesmeetingthesetests,
haveachievedexcellentresultsinrecentdecades.However,very
fewenterprisespossessbothcharacteristics,andcompetitionto
buythosethatdohasnowbecomefiercetothepointofbeing
self-defeating.
Thesecondcategoryinvolvesthemanagerialsuperstars-men
whocanrecognizethatrareprincewhoisdisguisedasatoad,
andwhohavemanagerialabilitiesthatenablethemtopeelaway
thedisguise.WesalutesuchmanagersasBenHeinemanat
NorthwestIndustries,HenrySingletonatTeledyne,ErwinZabanat
NationalServiceIndustries,andespeciallyTomMurphyatCapital
CitiesCommunications(arealmanagerial�twofer�,whose
acquisitioneffortshavebeenproperlyfocusedinCategory1and
whoseoperatingtalentsalsomakehimaleaderofCategory2).
Frombothdirectandvicariousexperience,werecognizethe
difficultyandrarityoftheseexecutives�achievements.(Sodo
they;thesechampshavemadeveryfewdealsinrecentyears,and
oftenhavefoundrepurchaseoftheirownsharestobethemost
sensibleemploymentofcorporatecapital.)
YourChairman,unfortunately,doesnotqualifyforCategory
2.And,despiteareasonablygoodunderstandingoftheeconomic
factorscompellingconcentrationinCategory1,ouractual
acquisitionactivityinthatcategoryhasbeensporadicand
inadequate.Ourpreachingwasbetterthanourperformance.(We
neglectedtheNoahprinciple:
predictingraindoesn�tcount,
buildingarksdoes.)
Wehavetriedoccasionallytobuytoadsatbargainprices
withresultsthathavebeenchronicledinpastreports.Clearly
ourkissesfellflat.Wehavedonewellwithacoupleofprinces
-buttheywereprinceswhenpurchased.Atleastourkisses
didn�tturnthemintotoads.And,finally,wehaveoccasionally
beenquitesuccessfulinpurchasingfractionalinterestsin
easily-identifiableprincesattoad-likeprices.
BerkshireAcquisitionObjectives
Wewillcontinuetoseektheacquisitionofbusinessesin
theirentiretyatpricesthatwillmakesense,evenshouldthe
futureoftheacquiredenterprisedevelopmuchalongthelinesof
itspast.Wemayverywellpayafairlyfancypricefora
Category1businessifwearereasonablyconfidentofwhatweare
getting.Butwewillnotnormallypayalotinanypurchasefor
whatwearesupposedtobringtotheparty-forwefindthatwe
ordinarilydon�tbringalot.
During1981wecamequiteclosetoamajorpurchase
involvingbothabusinessandamanagerwelikedverymuch.
However,thepricefinallydemanded,consideringalternativeuses
forthefundsinvolved,wouldhaveleftourownersworseoffthan
beforethepurchase.Theempirewouldhavebeenlarger,butthe
citizenrywouldhavebeenpoorer.
Althoughwehadnosuccessin1981,fromtimetotimeinthe
futurewewillbeabletopurchase100%ofbusinessesmeetingour
standards.Additionally,weexpectanoccasionalofferingofa
major�non-votingpartnership�asdiscussedunderthePinkerton�s
headingonpage47ofthisreport.Wewelcomesuggestions
regardingsuchcompanieswherewe,asasubstantialjunior
partner,canachievegoodeconomicresultswhilefurtheringthe
long-termobjectivesofpresentownersandmanagers.
Currently,wefindvaluesmosteasilyobtainedthroughthe
open-