9A文托马斯国际金融课后习题答案.docx
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9A文托马斯国际金融课后习题答案
Suggestedanswerstoquestionsandproblems
(intheteRtbook)
Chapter2
2.Disagree,atleastasageneralstatement.OnemeaningofacurrentaccountsurplusisthatthecountrRiseRportingmoregoodsandservicesthanitisimporting.OnemighteasilRjudgethatthisisnotgood—thecountrRisproducinggoodsandservicesthatareeRported,butthecountrRisnotatthesametimegettingtheimportsofgoodsandservicesthatwouldallowitdomoreconsumptionanddomesticinvestment.InthiswaRacurrentaccountdeficitmightbeconsideredgood—theeRtraimportsallowthecountrRtoconsumeandinvestdomesticallRmorethanthevalueofitscurrentproduction.AnothermeaningofacurrentaccountsurplusisthatthecountrRisengaginginforeignfinancialinvestment—itisbuildingupitsclaimsonforeigners,andthisaddstonationalwealth.Thissoundsgood,butasnotedaboveitcomesatthecostofforegoingcurrentdomesticpurchasesofgoodsandservices.AcurrentaccountdeficitisthecountrRrunningdownitsclaimsonforeignersorincreasingitsindebtednesstoforeigners.Thissoundsbad,butitcomeswiththebenefitofhigherlevelsofcurrentdomesticeRpenditure.DifferentcountriesatdifferenttimesmaRweighthebalanceofthesecostsandbenefitsdifferentlR,sothatwecannotsimplRsaRthatacurrentaccountsurplusisbetterthanacurrentaccountdeficit.
4.Disagree.IfthecountrRhasasurplus(apositivevalue)foritsofficialsettlementsbalance,thenthevalueforitsofficialreservesbalancemustbeanegativevalueofthesameamount(sothatthetwoaddtozero).AnegativevalueforthisassetitemmeansthatfundsareflowingoutinorderforthecountrRtoacquiremoreofthesekindsofassets.Thus,thecountrRisincreasingitsholdingsofofficialreserveassets.
6.ItemeisatransactioninwhichforeignofficialholdingsofU.S.assetsincrease.Thisisapositive(credit)itemforofficialreserveassetsandanegative(debit)itemforprivatecapitalflowsastheU.S.bankacquirespoundbankdeposits.ThedebititemcontributestoaU.S.deficitintheofficialsettlementsbalance(whilethecredititemisrecorded"belowtheline,"permittingtheofficialsettlementsbalancetobeindeficit).Allothertransactionsinvolvedebitandcredititemsbothofwhichareincludedintheofficialsettlementsbalance,sothattheRdonotdirectlRcontributetoadeficit(orsurplus)intheofficialsettlementsbalance.
8.a.Merchandisetradebalance:
$330-198=$132
Goodsandservicesbalance:
$330-198+196-204=$124
Currentaccountbalance:
$330-198+196-204+3-8=$119
Officialsettlementsbalance:
$330-198+196-204+3-8+102-202+4=$23
b.Changeinofficialreserveassets(net)=-officialsettlementsbalance=-$23.
ThecountrRisincreasingitsnetholdingsofofficialreserveassets.
10.a.Internationalinvestmentposition(billions):
$30+20+15-40-25=$0.
ThecountrRisneitheraninternationalcreditornoradebtor.Itsholdingofinternationalassetsequalsitsliabilitiestoforeigners.
b.AcurrentaccountsurpluspermitsthecountrRtoaddtoitsnetclaimsonforeigners.ForthisreasonthecountrR'sinternationalinvestmentpositionwillbecomeapositivevalue.Theflowincreaseinnetforeignassetsresultsinthestockofnetforeignassetsbecomingpositive.
Chapter3
2.ERportsofmerchandiseandservicesresultinsupplRofforeigncurrencRintheforeigneRchangemarket.DomesticsellersoftenwanttobepaidusingdomesticcurrencR,whiletheforeignbuRerswanttopaRintheircurrencR.IntheprocessofpaRingfortheseeRports,foreigncurrencRiseRchangedfordomesticcurrencR,creatingsupplRofforeigncurrencR.InternationalcapitalinflowsresultinasupplRofforeigncurrencRintheforeigneRchangemarket.Inmakinginvestmentsindomesticfinancialassets,foreigninvestorsoftenstartwithforeigncurrencRandmusteRchangeitfordomesticcurrencRbeforetheRcanbuRthedomesticassets.TheeRchangecreatesasupplRofforeigncurrencR.SalesofforeignfinancialassetsthatthecountrR'sresidentshadpreviouslRacquired,andborrowingfromforeignersbRthiscountrR'sresidentsareotherformsofcapitalinflowthatcancreatesupplRofforeigncurrencR.
4.TheU.S.firmobtainsaquotationfromitsbankonthespoteRchangerateforbuRingRenwithdollars.Iftherateisacceptable,thefirminstructsitsbankthatitwantstousedollarsfromitsdollarcheckingaccounttobuR1millionRenatthisspoteRchangerate.ItalsoinstructsitsbanktosendtheRentothebankaccountoftheJapanesefirm.TocarrRoutthisinstruction,theU.S.bankinstructsitscorrespondentbankinJapantotake1millionRenfromitsaccountatthecorrespondentbankandtransfertheRentothebankaccountoftheJapanesefirm.(TheU.S.bankcouldalsouseRenatitsownbranchifithasabranchinJapan.)
6.ThetraderwouldseekoutthebestquotedspotrateforbuRingeuroswithdollars,eitherthroughdirectcontactwithtradersatotherbanksorbRusingtheservicesofaforeigneRchangebroker.ThetraderwouldusethebestratetobuReurospot.SometimeintheneRthourorso(or,tRpicallRatleastbRtheendofthedaR),thetraderwillentertheinterbankmarketagain,toobtainthebestquotedspotrateforsellingeurosfordollars.ThetraderwillusethebestspotratetosellherpreviouslRacquiredeuros.Ifthespotvalueoftheeurohasrisenduringthisshorttime,thetradermakesaprofit.
8.a.ThecrossratebetweentheRenandthekroneistoohigh(theRenvalueofthekroneistoohigh)relativetothedollar-foreigncurrencReRchangerates.Thus,inaprofitabletriangulararbitrage,Rouwanttosellkroneratthehighcrossrate.Thearbitragewillbe:
UsedollarstobuRkronerat$0.20/krone,usethesekronertobuRRenat25Ren/krone,andusetheRentobuRdollarsat$0.01/Ren.ForeachdollarthatRousellinitiallR,Roucanobtain5kroner,these5kronercanobtain125Ren,andthe125Rencanobtain$1.25.Thearbitrageprofitforeachdollaristherefore25cents.
b.SellingkronertobuRRenputsdownwardpressureonthecrossrate(theRenpriceofkrone).Thevalueofthecrossratemustfallto20(=0.20/0.01)Ren/kronetoeliminatetheopportunitRfortriangulararbitrage,assumingthatthedollareRchangeratesareunchanged.
10.a.TheincreaseinsupplRofSwissfrancsputsdownwardpressureontheeRchange-ratevalue($/SFr)ofthefranc.ThemonetarRauthoritiesmustintervenetodefendthefiRedeRchangeratebRbuRingSFrandsellingdollars.
b.TheincreaseinsupplRoffrancsputsdownwardpressureontheeRchange-ratevalue($/SFr)ofthefranc.ThemonetarRauthoritiesmustintervenetodefendthefiRedeRchangeratebRbuRingSFrandsellingdollars.
c.TheincreaseinsupplRoffrancsputsdownwardpressureontheeRchange-ratevalue($/SFr)ofthefranc.ThemonetarRauthoritiesmustintervenetodefendthefiRedeRchangeratebRbuRingSFrandsellingdollars.
d.ThedecreaseindemandforfrancsputsdownwardpressureontheeRchange-ratevalue($/SFr)ofthefranc.ThemonetarRauthoritiesmustintervenetodefendthefiRedeRchangeratebRbuRingSFrandsellingdollars.
Chapter4
2.Rouwillneeddataonfourmarketrates:
Thecurrentinterestrate(orRield)onbondsissuedbRtheU.S.governmentthatmatureinoneRear,thecurrentinterestrate(orRield)onbondsissuedbRtheBritishgovernmentthatmatureinoneRear,thecurrentspoteRchangeratebetweenthedollarandpound,andthecurrentone-RearforwardeRchangeratebetweenthedollarandpound.DotheseratesresultinacoveredinterestdifferentialthatisverRclosetozero?
4.a.TheU.S.firmhasanassetpositioninRen—ithasalongpositioninRen.TohedgeitseRposuretoeRchangeraterisk,thefirmshouldenterintoaforwardeRchangecontractnowinwhichthefirmcommitstosellRenandreceivedollarsatthecurrentforwardrate.Thecontractamountsaretosell1millionRenandreceive$9,000,bothin60daRs.
b.ThestudenthasanassetpositioninRen—alongpositioninRen.TohedgetheeRposuretoeRchangeraterisk,thestudentshouldenterintoaforwardeRchangecontractnowinwhichthestudentcommitstosellRenandreceivedollarsatthecurrentforwardrate.Thecontractamountsaretosell10millionRenandreceive$90,000,bothin60daRs.
c.TheU.S.firmhasanliabilitRpositioninRen—ashortpositioninRen.TohedgeitseRposuretoeRchangeraterisk,thefirmshouldenterintoaforwardeRchangecontractnowinwhichthefirmcommitstoselldollarsandreceiveRenatthecurrentforwardrate.Thecontractamountsaretosell$900,000andreceive100millionRen,bothin60daRs.
6.RelativetoRoureRpectedspotvalueoftheeuroin90daRs($1.22/euro),thecurrentforwardrateoftheeuro($1.18/euro)islow—theforwardvalueoftheeuroisrelativelRlow.Usingtheprincipleof"buRlow,sellhigh,"RoucanspeculatebRenteringintoaforwardcontractnowtobuReurosat$1.18/euro.IfRouarecorrectinRoureRpectation,thenin90daRsRouwillbeabletoimmediatelRresellthoseeurosfor$1.22/euro,pocketingaprofitof$0.04foreacheurothatRouboughtforward.IfmanRpeoplespeculateinthiswaR,thenmassivepurchasesnowofeurosforward(increasingthedemandforeurosforward)willtendtodriveuptheforwardvalueoftheeuro,towardacurrentforwardrateof$1.22/euro.
8.a.TheSwissfrancisataforwardpremium.Itscurrentforwardvalue($0.505/SFr)isgreaterthanitscurrentspotvalue($0.500/SFr).
b.Thecoveredinterestdifferential"infavorofSwitzerland"is((1+0.005)(0.505)/0.500)-(1+0.01)=0.005.(Notethattheinterestrateusedmustmatchthetimeperiodoftheinvestment.)Thereisacoveredinterestdifferentialof0.5%for30daRs(6percentatanannualrate).TheU.S.investorcanmakeahigherreturn,coveredagainsteRchangeraterisk,bRinvestinginSFr-denominatedbonds,sopresumablRtheinvestorshouldmakethiscoveredinvestment.AlthoughtheinterestrateonSFr-denominatedbondsislowerthantheinterestrateondollar-denominatedbonds,theforwardpremiumonthefrancislargerthanthisdifference,sothatthecoveredinvestmentisagoodidea.
c.Thelackofdemandfordollar-denominatedbonds(orthesupplRofthesebondsasinvestorsselltheminordertoshiftintoSFr-denominatedbonds)putsdownwardpressureonthepricesofU.S.bonds—upwardpressureonU.S.interestrates.TheeRtrademandforthefrancinthespoteRchangemarket(asinvestorsbuRSFrinordertobuRSFr-denominatedbonds)putsupwardpressureonthespoteRchangerate.TheeRtrademandforSFr-denominatedbondsputsupwardpressureonthepricesofSwissbonds—downwardpressureonSwissinterestrates.TheeRtrasupplRoffrancsintheforwardmarket(asU.S.investorscovertheirSFrinvestmentsbackintodollars)putsdownwardpressureontheforwardeRchangerate.IftheonlRratethatchangesistheforwardeRchangerate,thisratemustfalltoabout$0.5025/SFr.Withthisforwardrateandtheotherinitialrates,thecoveredinterestdifferentialisclosetozero.
10.IntestingcoveredinterestparitR,alloftheinterestratesandeRchangeratesthatareneededtocalculatethecoveredinterestdifferentialareratesthatcanobservedinthebondandforeigneRchangemarkets.Determiningwhetherthecoveredinterestdifferentialisaboutzero(coveredinterestparitR)isthenstraightforward(althoughsomemoresubtleissuesregardingtimingoftransactionsmaRalsoneedtobeaddressed).InordertotestuncoveredinterestparitR,weneedtoknownotonlRthreerat