EquityIndexingWord格式.docx

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∙Allpublicandprivateinformation

ActivePortfolioStrategiestrytotakeadvantageof“perceived”marketinefficiencies.

∙FundamentalAnalysis

∙TechnicalAnalysis

PassivePortfolioStrategiestrytotakeadvantageof“perceived”marketefficiencies.

∙BuyandHold

∙Indexing

OurFocushereisonIndexFundManagement,commonlycalledIndexing

Inanindexingapproach,afundmanagerdoesnottrytoidentifyunder-pricedsecuritiesorover-pricedsecurities.

Instead,the“indexer”invokesatradingstrategydesignedtocreateaportfoliothat“mimics,”“replicates,”or“tracks”theperformanceofanindex.

Thegoalhereistoshowhowanindexedportfolioisconstructedandmaintained.

Themotivationforindexingcomesfromcapitalmarkettheory,i.e.,the‘market’or‘tangency’portfolio.

∙Theportfoliois‘capturing’marketefficiency.

∙Buyandholdmaynotcapturemarketefficiency.Why?

(Later,whenwetalkmoreaboutfactorrisks,youwillseethatonecanusemuchofthismaterialthere,aswell.)

Isthemarketefficient?

∙‘Pockets’ofinefficiencyexist.

∙Difficulttooutperformthemarketconsistentlyafteraccountingforriskandtransactionscosts.

Keepinmind,manyprofessionalmoneymanagersunder-performpopularindexes,liketheS&

P500.

∙Also,seeTable14.2inFabozzi.

∙BangeandMiller(WorkingPaper)

SelectingtheIndex(orBenchmark)

∙Manybroad-basedandspecialindexesexisttoday

∙‘Boutique’fundsrequireaspeciallyconstructedindex

∙ProblemswiththeS&

P500asabenchmark

oStocksselectedbycommittee

oNotnecessarilybasedonfutureperformance

ConstructinganIndex-ReplicatingPortfolio

TrackingError:

Thedifferencebetweentheperformanceofthebenchmarkandthereplicatingportfolio.

Performanceisgenerallymeasuredbythetotalreturnoftheportfolioinquestion.

TrackingError=TotalReturnonReplicatingPortfolio

-TotalReturnonBenchmarkPortfolio

TrackingErrorcanbepositiveornegative.

ThegoalinIndex-Replicationistohaveatrackingerrorofzero.

Example:

TrackingErroroftheS&

∙TrackingtheS&

P500with50stocksresultsinatrackingerrorofabout2.5%(annualized).

P500with100stocksresultsinatrackingerrorofabout1.5%(annualized).

P500with~175stocksresultsinatrackingerrorofabout1.0%(annualized).

ANettlesomeIssue:

TransactionsCosts.

∙Thenumberofstocksincludedinthereplicatingportfolioaffectstransactionscosts.

∙Holdingfewerthanthenumberofstocksinthereplicatingportfoliogeneratestrackingerror.

SourcesofTrackingErrorOtherthantheNumberofStocks

∙Odd-LotPurchasesarecumbersome(computertradinggenerallyuses100shares).

∙Rebalancingtheportfoliogeneratestransactionscosts:

oMarketImpact,orliquidity,Risk

oBid-askspreads

oBrokeragecommissions

oTiming

Intheory,rebalancingcanbeavoidedifallstocksareheldintheindex,proportionatetotheirvalueinthebenchmark(ifthebenchmarkisvalue-weighted).

CapitalWeighted=ValueWeighted

But,becauseoftheodd-lotnatureintroducedbycapital-weighting,itisdifficulttobeginwithacapital-weightedreplicatingportfolio.

BenchmarkConstructionandtheReplicatingPortfolio

Threebasicweightingschemes:

1.Capitalization-Weighting(AKAValueWeightingorMarket-ValueWeighting):

StocksheldinproportiontotheirvalueintheBenchmarkPortfolio.

a.Large-capcompanieshavemoreinfluenceontheindex,butarethemostliquid.

b.Therefore,under/over-weightinginthelarge-capsgeneratesmoretrackingerror.

2.PriceWeighting:

Equalnumberofsharesinvestedineachstock,therefore,thepriceistheweight.

a.Thehighest-pricedstockshavethelargestweight.

b.BerkshireHathaway

3.EqualDollarWeighting:

Samedollarinvestmentineachstock.

a.Thelowest-pricedstockshavemoreinfluence.

WeightingSchemes,In-ClassExample,Datafrom3/11/94(Fabozzi,Pg.258)

Assumea$1,000,000ReplicatingPortfolio

Value-Weighting:

Shares=$1,000,000*Weight/Price

Price-Weighting

(Shares=$1,000,000/334.50=2,990)

EqualWeighting

Shares=$1,000,000*0.20/Price

Factorsthatalsoinfluenceweights(andtherefore,rebalancing):

∙Thereisamerger

∙Companymaybeaddedtoordeletedfromthebenchmark

∙Theremightbeastocksplitorastockdividend

∙Newstockmaybeissued

∙Currentstockmayberepurchased

MethodstoConstructaReplicatingPortfolio

∙ModifiedCapitalizationMethod.Assume200firmsaccountfor85%ofthevalueoftheindex.Value-weighttheseandequallyweighttheremainder.

∙StratifiedMethod.

oDefinea‘factor’bywhichthestocksmakinguptheindexmaybeclassified.Typically:

▪Anindustry

▪Beta

oSupposeindustryischosen:

▪Eachcompanyisassignedtoanindustry.

▪Attempttominimizeresidualriskbydiversifyingacrossindustrysectorsinthesameproportionasthebenchmark.

▪Selectionofstocksineach‘stratum’?

∙QuadraticOptimization

oUseaquadraticoptimizationproceduretogenerateaMarkowitzefficientset.

oThatis,minimizeriskgivenareturnlevel.Thisisknownasconstrainedoptimization.

oRecallthatinmean-variancespace,theefficientsetisaparabola,whichcanbedescribedbyaquadraticequation.

LinkstoActiveEquityManagement

∙“Enhanced”Indexing.Designawell-diversifiedportfoliothattakesadvantageof‘superior’estimatesofreturn.

o‘Tilted’Portfolio.Emphasizesaparticularindustrysector,performancefactor,oreconomicfactor:

▪Tech

▪Earningsmomemtum

▪Inflation

oUseIndexFuturestoEnhanceReturns(SeeChapter19).

▪Thisinvolvesidentifyingshort-terminstanceswhenfuturespricesare‘underpriced’relativetotheindex.

▪Insteadofbuyingmorestock,buy‘synthetic’stockusingfuturesandaninvestmentinT-bills.

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