营运资金管理外文文献翻译 2017.docx
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文献出处:
TedGrey.TheStudyontheresearchofworkingcapitalmanagementandfirmprofitability.ResearchinInternationalBusinessandFinance,2017,2(12):
36-49.
原文TheStudyontheresearchofworkingcapitalmanagementandfirmprofitability
TedGrey
Abstract
Therecenteconomicdownturnof2007–2008hasbroughtrenewedfocusonworkingcapitalpolicies.Inthispaperweexaminetheroleof
businesscyclesontheworkingcapital–profitabilityrelationshipusingasampleofFinnishlistedcompaniesoveran18-yearperiod.Wefindtheimpactofbusinesscycleontheworkingcapital–profitabilityrelationshipismorepronouncedineconomicdownturnsrelativetoeconomicbooms.Wefurthershowthatthesignificanceofefficientinventorymanagementandaccountsreceivablesconversionperiodsincreaseduringperiodsofeconomicdownturns.Ourresultsdemonstratethatactiveworkingcapitalmanagementmattersand,thus,shouldbeincludedinfirms’financialplanning.
1.Introduction
Thispaperinvestigatestheeffectofthebusinesscycleonthelinkbetweenworkingcapital,thedifferencebetweencurrentassetsandcurrentliabilities,andcorporateperformance.Efficientworkingcapitalmanagementisrecognizedasanimportantaspectoffinancialmanagementpracticesinallorganizationalforms.Inacknowledgementofthisimportance,theCFOMagazinepublishesanannualstudyofcorporateworkingcapitalmanagementperformanceinmanycountries.Theextensiveliteratureindicatesthatitimpactsdirectlyoncorporateliquidity(Kimetal.,1998andOpleretal.,1999),profitability(e.g.,ShinandSoenen,1998,Deloof,2003,LazaridisandTryfonidis,2006andUkaegbu,2014),andsolvency(e.g.,Berryman,1983andPeelandWilson,1994).
Itisreasonabletoassumethateconomy-widefluctuationsexogenoustotheoperationsofthefirmplayanimportantroleinthedemandforfirms’productsandanyfinancingdecision.KorajczykandLevy(2003),forinstance,suggestthatfirmstimedebtissuancebasedoneconomicconditions.Also,giventhatretainedearningsareasignificantcomponentofworkingcapital,businesscyclescanbesaidtoaffectallenterprisesfinancingsourcethroughitseffectoneconomicgrowthandsales.Forexample,whencompanysalesweakenitengendersearningdeclines,thereby,affectinganimportantsourceofworkingcapital.Therecentglobaleconomicdownturnwithcrimpingconsumerdemandisanexcellentexampleofthis.Thecrisis,characterizedbyplummetingsales,putasqueezeoncorporaterevenuesandprofitmargins,andsubsequently,workingcapitalrequirements.Thishasbroughtrenewedfocusonworkingcapitalmanagementatcompaniesallovertheworld.Theliteratureonworkingcapital,however,onlyincludesahandfulofstudiesexaminingtheimpactofthebusinesscycleonworkingcapital.AnearlystudybyMervilleandTavis(1973)examinedtherelationshipbetweenfirmworkingcapitalpoliciesandbusinesscycle.Morerecentstudieshaveinvestigatedthedegreetowhichfirms’relianceonbankborrowingtofinanceworkingcapitaliscyclical(EinarssonandMarquis,2001),thesignificanceoffirms’externaldependenceforfinancingneedsonthelinkbetweenindustrygrowthandbusinessthecycleintheshortterm(BraunandLarrain,2005),
andtheinfluenceofbusinessindicatorsonthedeterminantsofworkingcapitalmanagement(Chiouetal.,2006).Thesestudieshaveindependentlylinkedworkingcapitaltocorporateprofitabilityandthebusinesscycle.Nostudy,tothebestofourknowledge,hasexaminedthesimultaneousworkingcapital–profitabilityandbusinesscycleeffects.Thereisthereforeasubstantialgapintheliteraturewhichthispaperseekstofill.Firmsmayhaveanoptimallevelofworkingcapitalthatmaximizestheirvalue.However,optimallevelsmaychangetoreflectbusinessconditions.Consequently,wecontributetotheliteraturebyre-examiningtherelationshipbetweenworkingcapitalmanagementandcorporateprofitabilitybyinvestigatingtherolebusinesscycleplaysinthisrelationship.
WeinvestigatethisimportantrelationshipusingasampleoffirmslistedontheHelsinkiStockExchangeandanextendedstudyperiodof18years,between1990and2008.Finnishfirmstendtoreactstronglytochangesinthebusinesscycle,acharacteristicthatcanbeobservedfromthevolatilityoftheNasdaqOMXHelsinkistockindex.Theindexusuallydeclinesquicklyinpooreconomicstates,butalsomakesfastrecoveries.Finland,therefore,presentsanexcellentrepresentativeexampleofhowtheworkingcapital–profitabilityrelationshipmaychangeindifferenteconomicstates.ThechoiceofFinlandisalsosignificantasitalsooffersarepresentativeNordicperspectiveofthisimportantworkingcapital–
profitabilityrelationship.Hithertonoacademicstudyhasexaminedtheworkingcapital–profitabilityrelationshipintheNordicregion,tothebestofourknowledge.SurveysonworkingcapitalmanagementintheNordicregioncarriedoutbyDanskeBankandErnst&Youngin2009show,however,thatmanycompaniesratedtheirworkingcapitalmanagementperformanceasaverage,withagrowingfocusonoptimizingworkingcapitalinthefuture.Thesurveysare,however,silentonhowthisaverageperformanceaffectedprofitability.Thisgivesfurtherimpetusforourstudy.Ourresultspointtoanumberofinterestingfindings.First,wefindthatfirmscanenhancetheirprofitabilitybyincreasingworkingcapitalefficiency.ThisisasignificantresultbecausemanyNordicfirmsfindithardtoturngoodpolicyintentionsonworkingcapitalmanagementintoreality(ErnstandYoung,2009).Economically,firmsmaygainbypayingincreasingattentiontoefficientworkingcapitalpractices.Ourempiricalfinding,therefore,shouldmotivatefirmstoimplementnewworkprocessesasamatterofnecessity.Wealsofoundthatworkingcapitalmanagementisrelativelymoreimportantinloweconomicstatesthanintheeconomicboomstate,implyingworkingcapitalmanagementshouldbeincludedinfirms’financialplanning.ThisfindingcorroboratesevidencefromthesurveyresultsintheNordicregion.Specifically,thesurveyresultsbyErnstandYoung(2009)indicatethatthelargestpotentialforimprovementinworkingcapitalcouldbefoundwithintheoptimizationofinternal
processes.Thissuggeststhatthisareaisnotprioritizedintimesofbusinessgrowthwhichistypicalofthegeneraleconomicexpansionperiodsandisexposedineconomicdownturns.Theremainderofthispaperisorganizedasfollows:
Section2presentsabriefreviewoftheliteraturepresentsthehypothesesforempiricaltesting.Sections3and4discussdataandmodelstobeestimated.TheempiricalresultsarepresentedinSection5andSection6concludes.
2.Relatedliteratureandhypotheses
2.1.Literaturereview
Manyfirmshaveinvestedsignificantamountsinworkingcapitalandanumberofstudieshaveexaminedthedeterminantsofthisinvestment.ForexampleKimetal.(1998)andOpleretal.(1999),Chiouetal.(2006)andD’Melloetal.(2008)findthattheavailabilityofexternalfinancingisadeterminantofliquidity.Thusrestrictedaccesstocapitalmarketsrequiresfirmstoholdlargercashreserves.Otherstudiesshowthatfirmswithweakercorporategovernancestructuresholdsmallercashreserves(Harfordetal.,2008).Furthermorefirmswithexcesscashholdingaswellasweakshareholderrightsundertakemoreacquisitions.Howeverthereisahigherlikelihoodofvalue-decreasingacquisitions(Harford,1999).KieschnickandLaplante(2012)provideevidencelinkingworkingcapitalmanagementtoshareholderwealth.Theyfindthattheincrementaldollar
investedinnetoperatingcapitalislessvaluablethantheincrementaldollarheldincashfortheaveragefirm.Thefindingsreportedinthepaperfurthersuggestthatthevaluationoftheincrementaldollarinvestedinnetoperatingworkingissignificantlyinfluencedbyafirm'sfuturesalesexpectations,itsdebtload,itsfinancialconstraints,anditsbankruptcyrisk.Furtherthevalueoftheincrementaldollarextendedincredittoone'scustomershasagreatereffectonshareholderwealththantheincrementaldollarinvestedininventoriesfortheaveragefirm.Takentogethertheresultsindicatethesignificanceofworkingcapitalmanagementtothefirm'sresidualclaimants,andhowfinancingimpactstheseeffects.
Athinthreadoftheliteraturelinksbusinesscyclestoworkingcapital.Inatheoreticalmodel,MervilleandTavis(1973)positthatinvestmentandfinancingdecisionsrelatingtoworkingcapitalshouldbemadeinchorusascomponentsofeachimpactontheoptimalpoliciesoftheothers.Theoptimalworkingcapitalpolicyofthefirmis,therefore,madewithinasystemscontext,componentsofwhicharerelatedspatiallyovertimeinachance-constrainedformat.Uncertaintyinthewiderbusinessenvironmentdirectlyaffectsthesystem.Forexample,shortrundemandfluctuationsdisruptanticipatedincomingcashflows,andthecollectionofreceivablesfacesincreaseduncertainty.Themodelprovidesastructureenablingcorporatemanagerstosolvecomplexinventoryandcreditpoliciesforshorttermfinancialplanning.Inanempiricalstudy,EinarssonandMarquis
(2001)findthatthedegreetowhichcompaniesrelyonbankfinancingtocovertheirworkingcapitalrequirementsintheU.S.iscountercyclical;itincreasesasthestateoftheeconomyweakens.Furthermore,BraunandLarrain(2005)findthathighworkingcapitalrequirementsareakeydeterminantofabusiness’dependenceonexternalfinancing.Theyshowthatfirmsthatarehighlydependentonexternalfinancingar