新视野第一册9单元.docx
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新视野第一册9单元
Preview
Whatanexcitingtimetobealive!
Anewcenturyliesbeforeuslikeanartist’ssketchbookwithhardlyamarkinit.Whatwillwedowiththeseblankpages?
Whatwillourfootprintsshow100yearsfromnow?
Howwillwehandleouruniqueopportunitytomakeourworldabetterplace?
Willwealsofillthepagesofthiscenturywithbloodandtearsandhorriblewars,destroyingourenemiesorourselveswithgunsanddrugsorgermsorworse?
Orwillwechoosetouniteinacommoncausetosavethisearthhomeweshareandriditofallitsills?
Willwechoosetofillourdayswithactswhicharebeautiful,true,honest,just,pure,goodandworthyofhonour?
For,howweimagethisnewcenturyismostcertainlyachoice.Wewillcreateourfuturebasedonwhatwedotoday.“Lookwellthereforetothisday,”asthefamousSanskritpoemadvises.
1.YourFuture
Thefuturedoesnotdetermineitself.Theactionsofthepresentdeterminethefuture.
EdwardCornish,editorof"TheFuturist"magazinepublishedbytheWorldFutureSociety,says:
"Theresponsibilitywehaveforthefuturebeginswhenwerecognisethatweourselvescreatethefuture--thatthefutureisnotsomethingimposeduponusbyfateorotherforcesbeyondourcontrol.Weourselvesbuildthefutureboththroughwhatwedoandwhatwedonotdo."
2.YourBrain
Yourbrainwavesmaybecheckedtoseewhetheryouarebusy,tiredordoingyourworkproperly.
PsychologistArthurF.Kramertestedvolunteersworkingonarithmeticproblems.Hecouldpredicttheirperformancefromthestrengthofthebrain'selectricalactivitymeasuredthroughthehead.
Thefuture?
Bossescouldmeasurebrainactivitytolearnworkerquality.Frequentcomputeranalysescouldtellwhetherworkers,likeairtrafficcontrollers,areseeingallactivityclearlyenoughtomonitoritproperly.
3.YourDoctor
Moreandmore,doctorswillusevisualinformationaboutyourconditionfromcomputers,insteadoftextbooks,fordiagnosisandtreatment.
Homecomputerswillenableyoutoanswerinteractivequestionsaboutyourhealthandshowthealternativeresultsshouldyouactinacertainway.
4.YourCar
Carswillbealmostentirelycontrolledbycomputers.
Topayforcosts,carswillbebilledforusinghigh-speedtollroads.Computerswillrecordthepassageofthecarandautomaticallytakethemoneyfromtheowner'scomputerbankaccount.
Computerswillshowdriversmapsofdistrictsthecariscrossingonasmallscreeninthecar.
Computerswilldiagnoseanyproblemswiththeengine.Computerconnectionswilllistthenearestplacesofrepair,tellthecostofnewpartsandtheplacewheretheycanbebought.
5.TheComputer-Home
MorethanhalfofthehomecomputerssoldintheUnitedStatesinrecentyearswillbecomeessentialtohomelifeintheWest.Futuretaskscomputersalreadydoathomeinclude:
Computersturnonthelights,heatingandessentialhouseholdservicesbeforepeoplearrivehomefromwork.Computerscontrolcooking,hotwater,security.
Computersenablehomeworkassignmentstobedonewithworldwideresources,usingsiteslikemuseumsandsciencefacilitiesaroundtheworld.Homeworkhelpcancomeequallyfromthelocallibrary,orlibrariesanddatabasesinplacesasfarapartasNewYorkandLondon,orfromteachersandfellowstudentsaroundtheglobe.
ManyshoppersordergroceriesathomethroughInternetsuppliersandhavepurchasesdelivered.
6.TheWorkplace
Thechangingfaceofworkandthework-placeisoneofthemostwidespreadinfluencesinWesternsociety.
Womennowformmorethanhalftheworkers;thepercentageisrisingastheystartupsmallbusinessesoftheirown,oftenworkingfromhome.
Peoplearechangingcareersonaverageeverytenyearsnow,insteadofstayinginajobforlife.
Increasesininformationandknowledge-basedbusinessesarereducinglevelsofmiddlemanagement.Topmanagersgetalltheinformationneededtoworktogetherwithfront-linestaff.
Specialistsarebecomingmoreimportantthangeneralworkers.
7.TheEnvironment
Protectionoftheenvironmentusedtobetheconcernofspecialgroups.Nowgovernmentsandbusinessesrealisebadairandwaterpollutionaffecteveryone,makingitdifficultforcitiestosurviveandforbusinessestomakeaprofit.
London,England'sbiggestcity,oftensuffersfromairpollutionwhichcausesmorethan1,000deathsayear.Especiallytheveryyoung,theelderlyandcigarettesmokersareathighrisk.
ManyEuropeancountriesandtheUnitedStatescheckvehiclesforgasandsmokeemissionstomakesurethelevelsarebelowthepermittedoutput.Forexample,Germanyhas600sitesthatmonitorcarbonmonoxide.
8.YourHealth
Physicalfitnessandhealthylifestyleshavechangedfromfashionandhobbyforafewtoofficialpolicyformanybusinessesandgovernments.
Smokingcigarettesisundersiegeasahabit.Smokingadvertisingisbannedinmanyareas.
Althoughpillsfortension,heartconditions,weightandotherlife-threateningconditionsareprescribedbyWesterndoctors,mostnowrequirepatientstodevelophealthylifestylesbychangingdietsandexercisingmoretokeepwell.
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700
(Trendsforthe21stCentury)
Whatproblemswillourworldencounterinthenext1000years?
Socialscientistsandeconomists,farmingexpertsandenvironmentalistsposethisquestionandexaminedata,informationfromsurveys.
Ineveryfield,expertsexaminechangestounderstandthestateofthefield.Tounderstandacountry'seconomy,economistscheckgrowthinanindustrysuchassteel.Tounderstandthestateofbusiness,theymaylookatthenumberofbuildingpermitsfornewhouses.Theinformationlearnedshowsincreasesordecreases.Importanttrendsemergeineachfield.
Population
PopulationisimportanttoeverypersononEarth.Peopletendtolivelongerinmostplaces.InCentralEurope,however,lifespanisdroppingbecausehealthcareisnotwhatitwasafewyearsago.Factorsaffectinggeneralhealthincludeexcessivesmokinganddrinkingofalcoholandpollutedwatersupplies.
Thepopulationexplosiononourplanethasbeenincreasingatanalarmingratebutthepercentageofincreaseisdecreasing.OneoutofeveryfivepeopleonEarthisChinese,yetChina'sgrowthratehasslowed.Asthenumberofwomengoingtoschoolincreases,thegrowthratedeclines.
FoodProduction;[
Theproductionofgrainseemstobedecreasingmainlybecauseofclimatechanges.Naturaldisasterslikestormsandfloodshavewashedawaymanycrops.
Withlesslandforcattleandsheep,lessmeatlikebeefandlambisbeingproduced.Productionofchicken,turkeyandfishhasincreased,however.Theamountofoceanfishhasnotincreased,butfishfarmproductionhas.
Fishfarmingisveryefficient:
producingakilogramoffishutilizeslessthan2kilogramsoffeed,butittakes2.2kilogramsoffeedtoproduce1kilogramofchicken.Onekilogramofbeefrequires7kilogramsofgrain.People,therefore,mayeatlessredmeatinthefutureandmorefish.
Energy
Usingfossilfuelsforenergyhasnotalteredverymuchbutwindenergyuseisincreasingsignificantly.Denmark,Germany,theNetherlands,Britain,andAmericahavelargewindpowerprojects.China,India,Mexico,NewZealand,andtheUkrainearealsodevelopingwindpower.
Energyfromnuclearpowerplantsissteadilyincreasingbuttheproblemofdangerouswastelimitsgrowthinmanyregions.Becausemanyelectricalcompaniesconsidernuclearenergytooexpensive,thetrendistowardlessdangeroussourcesofenergy.
Whilenaturalgasuseincreases,useofcoalasfuelisdecreasing.Naturalgas,anoutstandingenergyfuel,canbeusedtoheathomes,makeelectricity,andpowercars.
Economics
Ascountriesaroundtheworldtrademorewithoneanother,moreproductsareavailable.Butthefastdevelopmentofworldeconomywillbringaboutmanynewproblems.Withfewertrees,thepaperindustryisproducingmorepaperfromrecycledmaterialsbut,unfortunately,damagestheplanet.Thepaper-makingprocessuseslargeamountsofwater,burnsfossilfuelsandproducesmuchchemicalwaste.
Automobileproductionisdown;bicycleproductionisup.Crowdedhighways,highgasolinecosts,andeaseofbicyclingarethreereasonsforthischange.
Health
Threemajorhealthtrendsexistaswebeginthenewcentury.Healthcareisbetterthanever.Medicalresearchbreakthroughsincludefindingtumorsearly,andsavinglivesthroughCATscansandsurgery.Survivingcancerisanewtrend.HIV/AIDS,however,isspreadingquicklyallovertheworld.
Thethirdmajortrendistowardanattitudeofindifference.Peopleseemtohaveforgottenwaystokeepdiseasesundercontrol.Althoughmedicalsciencehadachievedcontroloverseveraldangerousdiseases,somearereturning.Forinstance,tuberculosis,onceadangerouskiller,wascured.Nowthediseaseisappearingagain.
Nature
Pollutioncontinuestoaffectourforestsandwater.Thebirdpopulationisdecreasingbecauseofoilspillsandspreadingcities.Seasandoceansarechanging.Treesarecutdown,moresoilwashesaway,andwaterqualityisaffected.Manyofthesetreesareinourrainforestswherethickareasofplantsandtrees,homeformanybirdsandanimals,aredisappearing.
Conclusion
Ourchallengesforthisnewcenturyareclear.Theproblemsofnumerousinhabitantsonthissmallplanetwillcontinuetobeimportanttoeachofus.Thesechallengesshowthatallofusneedtobeinvolvedinsolvingtheproblems.Maywefindnewwaystoaccomplishthetask.
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696
AmericansinthefuturewillprobablynotliveasAmericansdotoday.Fusion(核聚变)powerwillbecapableofproducingenergywithoutlimitswhilesavingnaturalresources.Peopl