公司理财第九版课案例Conch Republic Electronics.docx

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公司理财第九版课案例Conch Republic Electronics.docx

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公司理财第九版课案例Conch Republic Electronics.docx

ConchRepublicElectronicsAnalysis

AnalysisofConchRepublicElectronics

Developaprototype

$750000

Sunkcost

Marketstudy

$200000

ThenewPDA:

Variablecostperunit

$155

Fixedcostperyear

$4700000

Priceofperunit

$360

Necessaryequipment

$21500000

Depreciation

Seven-yearMACRS

Salvagevalue

$4100000

Taxrate

35%

Requiredreturn

12%

Year

MACRSPercentage

Depreciation

Salesvolume

1

14.29%

$3,072,350

74000

2

24.49%

$5,265,350

95000

3

17.49%

$3,760,350

125000

4

12.49%

$2,685,350

105000

5

8.93%

$1,919,950

80000

Theexistingmodel:

Priceperunit

$290

Variablecostperunit

$120

Fixedcostperyear

$1800000

Salesvolumeoffallbyperyear

15000

Pricebeloweredofperunit

$255

Salesvolumeforyear1

80000

Salesvolumeforyear2

60000

ThereisnoinitialoutlayforNWC;andNetWorkingCapitalforthePDAswillbe20%ofsales.

Thevalueoftheequipmentinfiveyearswillbe$4.1million.

IntroducingthenewPDA,itcausestheexitingPDAsalesfalldownandthepricefalldown.

Therefore:

salesforyear1=74000*$360-15000*$290-(80000-15000)*($290-$255)

=$20015000

Variablecostforyear1=74000*$155-15000*$120=$9670000

Salesforyear2=95000*$360-15000*$290-(60000-15000)*($290-$255)

=$28275000

Variablecostforyear2=95000*$155-15000*$120=$12925000

Year

1

2

3

4

5

Sales

$20,015,00

0

$28,275,00

0

$45,000,000

$37,800,00

0

$28,800,00

0

Variable

cost

$9,670,000

$12,925,00

0

$19,375,000

$16,275,00

0

$12,400,00

0

Fixedcost

$4,700,000

$4,700,000

$4,700,000

$4,700,000

$4,700,000

Totalcost

$14,370,00

0

$17,625,00

0

$24,075,000

$20,975,00

0

$17,100,00

0

Depreciati

on

$3,072,350

$5,265,350

$3,760,350

$2,685,350

$1,919,950

EBIT

$2,572,650

$5,384,650

$17,164,650

$14,139,65

0

$9,780,050

Tax

$900,427.5

0

$1,884,627.

50

$6,007,627.5

0

$4,948,877.

50

$3,423,017.

50

Netincome

$1,672,222.

50

$3,500,022.

50

$11,157,022.

50

$9,190,772.

50

$6,357,032.

50

Networkingcapital=sales*20%

Projectcashflow=Projectoperatingcashflow-Projectchangesinnetworkingcapital-projectcapitalspending

Operatingcashflow=EBIT+Depreciation-TaxesChangeinNWC=EndingNWC-BeginningNWC

Year

1

2

3

4

5

Operatingcashflow

$4,744,572.50

$8,765,372.50

$14,917,372.50

$11,876,122.50

$8,276,982.50

networkingcapital

$4,003,000

$5,655,000

$9,000,000

$7,560,000

$5,760,000

initialNWC

$0

$4,003,000

$5,655,000

$9,000,000

$7,560,000

EndingNWC

$4,003,000

$5,655,000

$9,000,000

$7,560,000

$0

ChangeinNWC

$4,003,000

$1,652,000

$3,345,000

($1,440,000)

($7,560,000)

NETCashflow

$741,572.50

$7,113,372.50

$11,572,372.50

$13,316,122.50

15836982.5

Thebookvalueofequipmentafterthedepreciation=$21500000-$3,072,350-

$5,265,350-$3,760,350-$2,685,350-$1,919,950=$4796650

Pretaxsalvagevalueofequipment=$4100000

After-taxcashflowofequipment=$4100000+($4796650-$4100000)*35%=$4343827.5

Year

Cashflow

0

($21,500,000.00)

1

$741,572.50

2

$7,113,372.50

3

$11,572,372.50

4

$13,316,122.50

5

$20180810

Part1

1Whatisthepaybackperiodoftheproject?

Year

Cashflow

Remaining

PV

0

($21,500,000.00)

1

$741,572.50

($20,758,427.50)

$662,118.30

2

$7,113,372.50

($13,645,055.00)

$5,670,737.01

3

$11,572,372.50

($2,072,682.50)

$8,236,986.17

4

$13,316,122.50

$11,243,440.00

$8,462,636.58

5

$20180810

$11,451,133.5

6

Paybackperiod=3+($13,316,122.50-$11,243,440.00)/$13,316,122.50

=3.16years

2.Whatistheprofitabilityindexoftheproject?

PI=(thepresentvalueofthefuturecashflow)/(initialinvestment)

PVofthefuturecashflow=$662,118.30+$5,670,737.01+$8,236,986.17

+$8,462+$11,451,133.56=$34,483,611.62

PI=$34,483,611.62/$21500000=1.60

3.WhatistheIRRoftheproject?

IRRisthereturnthatmakestheNPV=0.

Therefore:

NPV=0=-$21500000+($741,572.50/(1+IRR)^1)+($7,113,372.50

/(1+IRR)^2)+($11,572,372.50/(1+IRR)^3)+($13,316,122.50/(1+IRR)^4)($20180810/(1+IRR)^5)

UsetheEXCELwecangettheIRR=27.62%

4.WhatistheNPVoftheproject?

NPV=-$21500000+$662,118.30+$5,670,737.01+$8,236,986.17+$8,462,636.58

+$11,451,133.56=$12,983,611.62

Part2

5.HowsensitiveistheNPVtochangeinthepriceofthenewPDA?

Wesupposethepriceincrease$10,sothepricewillbe$370perunit

Therefore:

Year

1

2

3

4

5

Sales

$20,755,00

0

$29,225,00

0

$46,250,000

$38,850,00

0

$29,600,00

0

Variable

cost

$9,670,000

$12,925,00

0

$19,375,000

$16,275,00

0

$12,400,00

0

Fixedcost

$4,700,000

$4,700,000

$4,700,000

$4,700,000

$4,700,000

Totalcost

$14,370,00

0

$17,625,00

0

$24,075,000

$20,975,00

0

$17,100,00

0

Depreciati

on

$3,072,350

$5,265,350

$3,760,350

$2,685,350

$1,919,950

EBIT

$3,312,650

$6,334,650

$18,414,650

$15,189,65

0

$10,580,05

0

Tax

$1,159,427.

50

$2,217,127.

50

$6,445,127.5

0

$5,316,377.

50

$3,703,017.

50

Netincome

$2,153,222.

50

$4,117,522.

50

$11,969,522.

50

$9,873,272.

50

$6,877,032.

50

Year

1

2

3

4

5

Operatingcash

flow

$5,225,57

2.50

$9,382,87

2.50

$15,729,87

2.50

$12,558,62

2.50

$8,796,982.

50

networking

capital

$4,151,00

0

$5,845,00

0

$9,250,000

$7,770,000

$5,920,000

initialNWC

$0

$4,151,00

0

$5,845,000

$9,250,000

$7,770,000

EndingNWC

$4,151,00

0

$5,845,00

0

$9,250,000

$7,770,000

$0

Changein

NWC

$4,151,00

0

$1,694,00

0

$3,405,000

($1,480,000

($7,770,000

NETCashflow

$1,074,57

2.50

$7,688,87

2.50

$12,324,87

2.50

$14,038,62

2.50

$16,566,98

2.50

Year

Cashflow

PV

0

($21,500,000.00)

1

$1,074,572.50

$959,439.73

2

$7,688,872.50

$6,129,522.08

3

$12,324,872.50

$8,772,600.80

4

$14,038,622.50

$8,921,798.39

5

$20,910,810.00

$11,865,355.17

NPV=-$21500000+$959,439.73+$6,129,522.08+$8,772,600.80

+$8,921,798.39+$11,865,355.17=$15,148,716.18

Therefore:

Thecoefficientofpricesensitive=($15,148,716.18-$12,983,611.62)/($370-$360)

=$216510.46

Fromthecoefficientofthepricesensitive,wecanknowthatifthepriceincrease

$1,theNPVincreaseS216510.46.

6.HowsensitiveistheNPVtochangeinquantitysoldoftheNewPDA?

Wesupposethequantityincrease1000peryear.

Therefore:

Year

1

2

3

4

5

Sales

$20,375,00

0

$28,635,00

0

$45,360,000

$38,160,00

0

$29,160,00

0

Variable

cost

$9,825,000

$13,080,00

0

$19,530,000

$16,430,00

0

$12,555,00

0

Fixedcost

$4,700,000

$4,700,000

$4,700,000

$4,700,000

$4,700,000

Totalcost

$14,525,00

0

$17,780,00

0

$24,230,000

$21,130,00

0

$17,255,00

0

Depreciati

on

$3,072,350

$5,265,350

$3,760,350

$2,685,350

$1,919,950

EBIT

$2,777,650

$5,589,650

$17,369,650

$14,344,65

0

$9,985,050

Tax

$972,177.5

0

$1,956,377.

50

$6,079,377.5

0

$5,020,627.

50

$3,494,767.

50

Netincome

$1,805,472.

50

$3,633,272.

50

$11,290,272.

50

$9,324,022.

50

$6,490,282.

50

Year

1

2

3

4

5

Operatingcash

flow

$4,877,82

2.50

$8,898,62

2.50

$15,050,62

2.50

$12,009,37

2.50

$8,410,232.

50

networking

capital

$4,075,00

0

$5,727,00

0

$9,072,000

$7,632,000

$5,832,000

initialNWC

$0

$4,075,00

0

$5,727,000

$9,072,000

$7,632,000

EndingNWC

$4,075,00

0

$5,727,00

0

$9,072,000

$7,632,000

$0

Changein

NWC

$4,075,00

0

$1,652,00

0

$3,345,000

($1,440,000

($7,632,000

NETCashflow

$802,822.

50

$7,246,62

2.50

$11,705,62

2.50

$13,449,37

2.50

$16,042,23

2.50

Year

Cashflow

PV

0

($21,500,000.00)

1

$802,822.50

$716,805.80

2

$7,246,622.50

$5,776,963.09

3

$11,705,622.50

$8,331,830.88

4

$13,449,372.50

$8,547,319.37

5

$20,386,060.00

$11,567,597.93

NPV=-$21500000+$716,805.80+$5,776,963.09+$8,331,830.88+$8,547,319.37

+$11,567,597.93=$13,440,517.07

Therefore:

Thecoefficientofpricesensitive=($13,440,517.07-$12,983,611.62)/1000

=$456.91

Fromthecoefficientofthequantitysensitive,wecanknowthatifthequantityincreases1,theNPVincrease$456.91.

Reference

Ross,Stephen.(2010).Fundamentalsofcorporatefinance:

Chapter10andChapter11Minicase.Asia:

McGraw-HillEducation.

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